Market · 21 of 23 outcomes
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 04:00 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 124,385 | 0.1¢ | $62 | Positive+$12.20 per $100 · 3,928 bets |
| Blind Chicken0x542a…a81b | Yes | 50,534 | 0.3¢ | $25 | Losing−$1.60 per $100 · 1,510 bets |
| chive0xd7fd…886a | Yes | 37,699 | 0.2¢ | $19 | — |
| gopay0xb9d2…fb68 | Yes | 29,000 | 0.1¢ | $15 | — |
| YouKnowNothingJonSnow0x73f7…b51d | Yes | 24,489 | 2.1¢ | $12 | — |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 24,284 | 0.5¢ | $12 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| 64MGX75VLQ0xf4d0…4637 | No | 10 | 99.9¢ | $10 | Positive+$1.05 per $100 · 1,100 bets |
| d270e0xe359…6e1e | No | 5 | 99.4¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x1f36…1709 | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| LetTheGoodTimesRoll0x1408…b4f8 | No | 5 | 98.8¢ | $5 | — |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 8,727 | 0.2¢ | $4 | Positive+$43.18 per $100 · 2,767 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 7,247 | 2.2¢ | $4 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,254 bets |
| welcomyfriend0x68e2…30ac | Yes | 7,239 | 0.1¢ | $4 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 7,169 | 2.2¢ | $4 | Positive+$5.59 per $100 · 87,228 bets |
| dontbesad0xdfdb…d762 | Yes | 6,915 | 0.2¢ | $3 | Positive+$2.07 per $100 · 144 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 6,891 | 2.2¢ | $3 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,034 bets |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 5,666 | 2.2¢ | $3 | Positive+$7.28 per $100 · 35,166+ bets · updating |
| Mr9570xc9d5…d1bb | Yes | 5,000 | 0.1¢ | $3 | — |
| windwound0x55e1…0b38 | Yes | 4,521 | 0.3¢ | $2 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 4,260 | 2.2¢ | $2 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 4,093 | 2.2¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,170 bets |
| Hourglass0x1d8c…757a | Yes | 3,587 | 2.2¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 23,981 bets |
| RadioCCOD0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | 3,111 | 1.0¢ | $2 | Proven+$95.13 per $100 · 197 bets |
| FrankyFourFingers0xcdbf…1926 | Yes | 2,755 | 0.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x78db…34e1 | Yes | 2,634 | 3.8¢ | $1 | New32 settled bets |
| 0x9b12…c2d5 | Yes | 2,347 | 2.2¢ | $1 | — |
| Gucky-450xe613…540e | Yes | 2,000 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$9.88 per $100 · 2,562 bets |
| 0xd32c…a4c2 | Yes | 1,650 | 2.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.63 per $100 · 3,766 bets |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 1,574 | 0.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,514 bets |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 1,505 | 2.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$7.92 per $100 · 18,799 bets |
| 0x4c63…185c | Yes | 1,500 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 1,443 | 1.5¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.95 per $100 · 66,042 bets |
| robohack0xe199…b4ff | Yes | 1,439 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| rocky420100x84d7…298f | Yes | 1,250 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| puipui24860x70d9…a684 | Yes | 1,215 | 2.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$28.53 per $100 · 4,038 bets |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| labistiiia0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$14.36 per $100 · 22,813 bets |
| Binotto0xdd9e…49b3 | Yes | 880 | 1.6¢ | $0 | Positive+$19.17 per $100 · 1,659 bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 860 | 0.5¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 18,243 bets |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | 852 | 2.1¢ | $0 | — |
| AngryRhino0xdf70…5e92 | Yes | 843 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.12 per $100 · 260 bets |
| northdrawer0xfd55…f905 | Yes | 807 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| avengers2357avengers0xf95e…ec50 | Yes | 724 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 706 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,046 bets |
| 0xfbd8…4027 | Yes | 705 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.14 per $100 · 30,125+ bets · updating |
| kaitemo0x7b0f…145c | Yes | 700 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | Yes | 674 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 12,456 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 661 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.99 per $100 · 29,969+ bets · updating |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 556 | 0.6¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,920 bets |
| paspor0x3dd2…9ab1 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.43 per $100 · 38,405+ bets · updating |
| korda770xa328…4977 | Yes | 519 | 2.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.82 per $100 · 42,898 bets |
| thi3f0xc982…044b | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xdaf9…dba5 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| karttitan0xe4f1…9833 | Yes | 500 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| KickstandBot0xca1f…d282 | Yes | 450 | 1.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe36a…671d | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x2c78…adf3 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| hklcrypt0x7449…c05e | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x8db8…c3f0 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x6cf5…4a23 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x227b…76f9 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9e7c…f06f | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9120…2fcc | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa158…1c1b | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd39c…8d35 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 99.4¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,489 bets |
| 0xa996…34b5 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x3317…76b4 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1e82…af92 | No | 0 | 98.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf4c0…f9b2 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x72e0…0b96 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x6a07…2952 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| kldbqqjc0xa3b4…1797 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| iurtn0xada0…89e3 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| vuxmnraos0x5f07…047e | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x8220…92a5 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Laurentdepau0x38ab…ab66 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| nullpointa0xc617…0d15 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| dsfslkjs0xe297…458a | No | 0 | 99.4¢ | $0 | — |
| lonelyfighter0x97c6…6587 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| skyyyx0x4d04…786b | No | 0 | 96.9¢ | $0 | — |
| kattie830x259f…5dce | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| aq6360x38fc…4ee4 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 73mythichonor0x8a07…2e24 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Anon3213210xe347…b438 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| shine0xe4cf…78c4 | Yes | 0 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| NoMoreMister0x4df7…522d | Yes | 0 | 2.1¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 650 events · $32.2M in play
Exactly one of this event's 23 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.