Market · 3 of 5 outcomes
Republican House odds dip to 5% by October 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:27 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| andy290xa75c…895e | No | 2,944 | 66.7¢ | $2.63K | — |
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA0x0c0e…434e | No | 746 | 88.0¢ | $668 | Proven+$4.10 per $100 · 2,050 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| ifyouloveme0x5a0d…fa97 | No | 620 | 57.7¢ | $555 | Positive+$2.57 per $100 · 549 bets |
| XAE12Archangel0xfbfd…0029 | No | 338 | 76.0¢ | $303 | Break-even−$0.20 per $100 · 1,715 bets |
| ndb10xfea3…d227 | No | 258 | 53.0¢ | $231 | Positive+$3.49 per $100 · 2,390 bets |
| nonkenny900x5cd5…ac33 | No | 250 | 87.0¢ | $224 | Break-even+$0.34 per $100 · 8,952 bets |
US 2026 midterms · 615 events · $32M in play