Market · 2 of 5 outcomes
Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:24 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GayPride0x551e…b0e0 | No | 7,539 | 76.3¢ | $5.77K | Proven+$6.82 per $100 · 967 bets |
| BetterFish0xc412…592d | No | 6,656 | 82.9¢ | $5.09K | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Snoorrason0x805a…0635 |
| Yes |
| 11,805 |
| 14.0¢ |
| $2.77K |
| Positive+$2.75 per $100 · 6,230 bets |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | Yes | 4,388 | 24.0¢ | $1.03K | Losing−$7.34 per $100 · 1,388 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 1,200 | 82.2¢ | $918 | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 65,033 bets |
| RememberAmalek0x6139…6b7a | No | 919 | 62.3¢ | $703 | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 2,102 bets |
US 2026 midterms · 615 events · $32M in play