Market · 4 of 5 outcomes
Republican House odds hit 15% by October 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 05:03 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xcbab…9a8a | No | 8,696 | 91.9¢ | $8.28K | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 573 bets |
| BetterFish0xc412…592d | No | 3,851 | 95.1¢ | $3.67K | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| No |
| 1,041 |
| 95.1¢ |
| $991 |
| Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
| Seutervoinen0xfaf6…cc47 | No | 666 | 95.2¢ | $634 | Proven+$3.63 per $100 · 488 bets |
| Snoorrason0x805a…0635 | Yes | 7,978 | 4.8¢ | $379 | Positive+$2.75 per $100 · 6,230 bets |
| aviato0x2a01…6397 | No | 316 | 95.0¢ | $301 | Positive+$1.04 per $100 · 3,736 bets |
US 2026 midterms · 653 events · $32.2M in play