Market · 1 of 5 outcomes
Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 22:16 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| andy290xa75c…895e | No | 1,899 | 10.6¢ | $1.1K | — |
| Rex4160x9a3f…914a | Yes | 2,452 | 86.1¢ | $1.03K | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 6,881 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| CosmicCedar0xdacf…3c74 |
| Yes |
| 2,389 |
| 75.0¢ |
| $1K |
| — |
| ifyouloveme0x5a0d…fa97 | No | 1,086 | 23.5¢ | $631 | Positive+$2.57 per $100 · 549 bets |
| nellojello0xa8ae…8eb7 | No | 1,000 | 7.0¢ | $581 | Proven+$10.19 per $100 · 305 bets |
| Snoorrason0x805a…0635 | No | 895 | 11.8¢ | $520 | Positive+$2.75 per $100 · 6,230 bets |
US 2026 midterms · 617 events · $32.1M in play