Market · 5 of 5 outcomes
Republican House odds hit 20% by October 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:53 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seutervoinen0xfaf6…cc47 | No | 4,040 | 90.0¢ | $3.99K | Proven+$3.63 per $100 · 488 bets |
| 0xcbab…9a8a | No | 3,281 | 97.7¢ | $3.24K | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 573 bets |
| RememberAmalek0x6139…6b7a | No | 955 | 88.3¢ | $943 | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 2,102 bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No | 219 | 83.6¢ | $216 | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,672 bets |
| BetterFish0xc412…592d | No | 210 | 97.9¢ | $207 | — |
| title10xbe74…a70e | No | 80 | 87.6¢ | $79 | Positive+$1.92 per $100 · 7,460 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 624 events · $32.1M in play