Market · 5 of 5 outcomes
Republican House odds hit 20% by October 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 05:22 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seutervoinen0xfaf6…cc47 | No | 4,040 | 90.0¢ | $3.99K | Proven+$3.63 per $100 · 488 bets |
| 0xcbab…9a8a | No | 3,281 | 97.7¢ | $3.24K | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 573 bets |
| RememberAmalek0x6139…6b7a | No | 955 | 88.3¢ | $943 | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 2,102 bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No | 219 | 83.6¢ | $216 | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,672 bets |
| BetterFish0xc412…592d | No | 210 | 97.9¢ | $207 | — |
| title10xbe74…a70e | No | 80 | 87.6¢ | $79 | Positive+$1.92 per $100 · 7,460 bets |
| AiBird0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | 5,423 | 11.0¢ | $71 | Positive+$3.45 per $100 · 14,377 bets |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | No | 36 | 81.6¢ | $36 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 5,413 bets |
| 50cents0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | 1,289 | 4.0¢ | $17 | — |
| UN-Sure0x8891…b5fc | No | 11 | 92.3¢ | $11 | — |
| rouxshan0x8db5…3c8b | Yes | 811 | 3.0¢ | $11 | — |
| 0xb5ab…03a9 | No | 10 | 83.9¢ | $10 | — |
| ddd1d430x0b4e…4d72 | No | 10 | 96.1¢ | $10 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 3,507 bets |
| ddd333aaa0x1dc1…5f5b | No | 10 | 96.1¢ | $10 | Positive+$1.12 per $100 · 4,786 bets |
| Parz1vaI0xb100…6461 | No | 10 | 98.1¢ | $10 | Proven+$3.49 per $100 · 6,933 bets |
| 0xd673…2305 | No | 9 | 98.8¢ | $9 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 511 | 6.4¢ | $7 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,584 bets |
| cy6erpunker0x2783…8321 | No | 6 | 88.2¢ | $6 | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 702 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 371 | 5.1¢ | $5 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 192 | 8.2¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| b570x4865…904d | No | 2 | 89.4¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x5449…992b | No | 2 | 98.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 6,692 bets |
| osmych0x7008…2fdd | No | 1 | 93.3¢ | $1 | — |
| crossFiter0x1284…3694 | Yes | 77 | 1.3¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 3,178 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 60 | 16.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 123,024+ bets · updating |
| Oscorp10x59d2…c99d | Yes | 50 | 14.0¢ | $1 | — |
| polesk88880x7a5c…767b | Yes | 50 | 5.0¢ | $1 | — |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | No | 1 | 87.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$3.71 per $100 · 4,954 bets |
| Flingflonger0xecef…4909 | No | 0 | 52.0¢ | $0 | — |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | 30 | 13.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xeb53…7925 | Yes | 20 | 12.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 97.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| aaab819d0x901e…58f0 | Yes | 4 | 12.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | 3 | 1.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$13.19 per $100 · 8,595 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 0 | 91.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
| Polimaki0x98a8…a47b | Yes | 0 | 13.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Pol7StrategyBuilder0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | 0 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| the-260-Challenge0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | 0 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 654 events · $32.2M in play