Market · 1 of 5 outcomes
Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 07:22 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rex4160x9a3f…914a | Yes | 2,452 | 86.1¢ | $1.22K | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 6,881 bets |
| CosmicCedar0xdacf…3c74 | Yes | 2,389 | 75.0¢ | $1.19K | — |
| andy290xa75c…895e | No | 1,899 | 10.6¢ | $952 | — |
| ifyouloveme0x5a0d…fa97 | No | 1,086 | 23.5¢ | $544 | Positive+$2.57 per $100 · 549 bets |
| nellojello0xa8ae…8eb7 | No | 1,000 | 7.0¢ | $501 | Proven+$10.19 per $100 · 305 bets |
| Snoorrason0x805a…0635 | No | 895 | 11.8¢ | $448 | Positive+$2.75 per $100 · 6,230 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | 600 | 70.7¢ | $299 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
| Parz1vaI0xb100…6461 | Yes | 515 | 55.2¢ | $257 | Proven+$3.49 per $100 · 6,933 bets |
| Mandalorec0x039b…9b6c | No | 340 | 50.1¢ | $170 | — |
| MMNiam0x949e…f5f2 | No | 231 | 46.9¢ | $116 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 228 | 50.8¢ | $114 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 123,093 bets |
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA0x0c0e…434e | No | 140 | 50.0¢ | $70 | Proven+$4.10 per $100 · 2,050 bets |
| sunnynotbunny0x4d02…2ad3 | No | 116 | 48.9¢ | $58 | — |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 54 | 77.6¢ | $27 | Positive+$3.65 per $100 · 14,530 bets |
| 0x9495…468f | No | 52 | 56.1¢ | $26 | Losing−$4.13 per $100 · 12,719 bets |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | No | 50 | 8.0¢ | $25 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 50 | 38.9¢ | $25 | Losing−$8.20 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | No | 50 | 37.8¢ | $25 | Losing−$7.36 per $100 · 1,390 bets |
| GidGud0x4867…a6f8 | Yes | 50 | 95.6¢ | $25 | Losing−$1.67 per $100 · 2,793 bets |
| 0x3245…7139 | No | 42 | 4.6¢ | $21 | — |
| winexecutescale0xfe93…8d0e | No | 42 | 29.2¢ | $21 | — |
| mitchellkatrina0x97cf…d5b2 | Yes | 38 | 73.0¢ | $19 | — |
| solder0x727e…8b9d | Yes | 36 | 49.9¢ | $18 | — |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | No | 36 | 27.0¢ | $18 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 35 | 22.8¢ | $18 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| qnicholson0x30d9…4391 | Yes | 31 | 74.0¢ | $15 | — |
| Majas0x4959…a6f5 | No | 30 | 56.1¢ | $15 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 22,612 bets |
| gfdgfvfvssdd0x84bb…1477 | No | 30 | 57.1¢ | $15 | — |
| jhuus0x4e90…e295 | No | 22 | 57.1¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x0e3d…52ab | No | 20 | 56.1¢ | $10 | — |
| fd43gsfg0x4754…1210 | No | 20 | 56.2¢ | $10 | New24 settled bets |
| Slackjaw0x6236…6881 | No | 20 | 27.0¢ | $10 | — |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | No | 20 | 50.1¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x8b9a…7da2 | No | 20 | 36.0¢ | $10 | — |
| 0xa578…6702 | No | 20 | 30.0¢ | $10 | — |
| 0xa1c7…bdbb | No | 20 | 50.1¢ | $10 | New83 settled bets |
| 0x7d88…eab3 | No | 20 | 65.6¢ | $10 | — |
| hgr10xab89…98e0 | No | 20 | 51.0¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x4dc0…b5b8 | Yes | 19 | 53.5¢ | $9 | New13 settled bets |
| 0x6e29…eff4 | No | 17 | 5.9¢ | $8 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 16 | 55.6¢ | $8 | Losing−$11.36 per $100 · 30,622+ bets · updating |
| 0xc059…ae14 | No | 13 | 38.6¢ | $6 | — |
| Hekkates0xcd71…b689 | Yes | 11 | 91.0¢ | $5 | — |
| ddd1d430x0b4e…4d72 | No | 10 | 14.3¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 3,507 bets |
| ddd333aaa0x1dc1…5f5b | No | 10 | 10.0¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.12 per $100 · 4,786 bets |
| aaab3410x5303…5b7a | No | 10 | 14.4¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.46 per $100 · 9,333 bets |
| asdfdd9180x5d3d…8105 | No | 10 | 14.4¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.12 per $100 · 11,893 bets |
| aaabbasdfcc0x8b30…876e | No | 10 | 14.4¢ | $5 | — |
| aaadda0xa840…87f7 | No | 10 | 10.0¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.45 per $100 · 4,316 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 6 | 63.6¢ | $3 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| congmqian-gendan0x9e16…7a42 | Yes | 5 | 61.1¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 4 | 38.0¢ | $2 | Proven+$3.95 per $100 · 66,044 bets |
| Welcome20260x1073…d8ba | No | 2 | 50.2¢ | $1 | — |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | Yes | 2 | 58.7¢ | $1 | Losing−$3.71 per $100 · 4,954 bets |
| P0020x64f8…db66 | Yes | 2 | 53.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.71 per $100 · 772 bets |
| GermanOjeda0x8812…2cd9 | Yes | 1 | 92.0¢ | $1 | — |
| HomeSad0x93ab…b67e | No | 1 | 26.0¢ | $1 | — |
| l5wrGYrLGv0xb5c4…cb3b | Yes | 1 | 59.0¢ | $1 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 1 | 58.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| AiBird0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | 1 | 69.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.45 per $100 · 14,377 bets |
| b570x4865…904d | No | 1 | 34.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x4613…7932 | No | 1 | 14.0¢ | $0 | — |
| kor-and-m0x0b14…f1f5 | No | 0 | 69.0¢ | $0 | — |
| yo20000x6417…8279 | No | 0 | 52.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1e75…63f1 | No | 0 | 38.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.06 per $100 · 2,545 bets |
| maomao2280xfe46…6133 | No | 0 | 57.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 0 | 89.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,637 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 0 | 65.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| rubby13370x9c18…f3a2 | No | 0 | 37.2¢ | $0 | — |
| JsonStatham0x625b…22cf | No | 0 | 50.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.12 per $100 · 9,353 bets |
| FelicityBright0xda00…61b4 | Yes | 0 | 93.3¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 663 events · $32.2M in play