Market · 4 of 5 outcomes
Republican House odds hit 15% by October 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 08:09 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xcbab…9a8a | No | 8,696 | 91.9¢ | $8.28K | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 573 bets |
| BetterFish0xc412…592d | No | 3,851 | 95.1¢ | $3.67K | — |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 1,041 | 95.1¢ | $991 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
| Seutervoinen0xfaf6…cc47 | No | 666 | 95.2¢ | $634 | Proven+$3.63 per $100 · 488 bets |
| Snoorrason0x805a…0635 | Yes | 7,978 | 4.8¢ | $379 | Positive+$2.75 per $100 · 6,230 bets |
| aviato0x2a01…6397 | No | 316 | 95.0¢ | $301 | Positive+$1.04 per $100 · 3,736 bets |
| RememberAmalek0x6139…6b7a | No | 250 | 77.0¢ | $238 | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 2,102 bets |
| e3220xe709…9d39 | Yes | 2,836 | 4.2¢ | $135 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 88 | 95.3¢ | $83 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,637 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 1,324 | 3.1¢ | $63 | Proven+$3.95 per $100 · 66,044 bets |
| Antony820xfd39…9ec8 | No | 55 | 84.5¢ | $52 | — |
| ifyouloveme0x5a0d…fa97 | Yes | 1,040 | 5.9¢ | $49 | Positive+$2.57 per $100 · 549 bets |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | No | 50 | 95.3¢ | $48 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| pykue0xa45f…d6cb | No | 50 | 90.4¢ | $48 | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 40 | 77.0¢ | $38 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
| title10xbe74…a70e | No | 40 | 76.5¢ | $38 | Positive+$1.92 per $100 · 7,460 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 561 | 7.0¢ | $27 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| kiohssudhhd0xd0a5…3e7f | No | 26 | 94.8¢ | $25 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 24 | 95.0¢ | $22 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| RewardsNinja0xd5be…0e42 | No | 21 | 95.9¢ | $20 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 408 | 5.6¢ | $19 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | No | 20 | 86.0¢ | $19 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 5,413 bets |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 19 | 94.8¢ | $18 | Losing−$8.20 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 320 | 8.5¢ | $15 | Losing−$2.67 per $100 · 123,278+ bets · updating |
| Kastellvalen0xe5c2…6b76 | No | 15 | 94.4¢ | $14 | — |
| asdfasd110x0680…4ba7 | No | 10 | 79.0¢ | $10 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 6,249 bets |
| roblausmini0x5688…be5a | No | 10 | 94.3¢ | $10 | — |
| JesusFK0x268f…bbd7 | Yes | 177 | 14.0¢ | $8 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 155 | 30.8¢ | $7 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 144 | 10.4¢ | $7 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | Yes | 140 | 6.4¢ | $7 | Losing−$3.71 per $100 · 4,954 bets |
| PAntipov0xea1d…e993 | No | 6 | 95.6¢ | $6 | — |
| JaneRibeira0x38bb…e3e8 | No | 5 | 94.9¢ | $5 | — |
| nery420x60db…1e9f | No | 5 | 95.9¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xb5ab…03a9 | No | 5 | 73.4¢ | $5 | — |
| UbuntuTrading0xc3cd…816c | Yes | 80 | 18.0¢ | $4 | Positive+$1.56 per $100 · 9,359 bets |
| oliveiraielson0x50f4…04d4 | Yes | 50 | 6.0¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.67 per $100 · 560 bets |
| winexecutescale0xfe93…8d0e | Yes | 34 | 35.5¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x4629…f3b1 | Yes | 30 | 33.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.33 per $100 · 5,354 bets |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | 30 | 26.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.96 per $100 · 4,379 bets |
| Viewbot0xdbe5…72da | No | 1 | 67.9¢ | $1 | — |
| AlphaGooo0xfc55…b21d | No | 0 | 94.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x6fbc…fa10 | Yes | 1 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.85 per $100 · 1,378 bets |
| StevieKiwi0xe9f3…c4a6 | Yes | 1 | 5.7¢ | $0 | — |
| jksdnf0xb6bf…c1c1 | Yes | 1 | 5.6¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 474 bets |
| b570x4865…904d | No | 0 | 75.6¢ | $0 | — |
| MMNiam0x949e…f5f2 | Yes | 0 | 5.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x21d5…b6d5 | Yes | 0 | 23.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.73 per $100 · 733 bets |
| Hochul3250x5284…27f5 | No | 0 | 74.2¢ | $0 | — |
| angb8100x9a14…1c26 | No | 0 | 94.9¢ | $0 | — |
| realmgow0x8526…8d34 | Yes | 0 | 23.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.28 per $100 · 119 bets |
| JsonStatham0x625b…22cf | Yes | 0 | 5.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.12 per $100 · 9,353 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 666 events · $32.3M in play