Market · 2 of 5 outcomes
Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 08:31 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 6 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GayPride0x551e…b0e0 | No | 7,539 | 76.3¢ | $5.8K | Proven+$6.82 per $100 · 967 bets |
| BetterFish0xc412…592d | No | 6,656 | 82.9¢ | $5.13K | — |
| Snoorrason0x805a…0635 | Yes | 11,805 | 14.0¢ | $2.72K | Positive+$2.75 per $100 · 6,230 bets |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | Yes | 4,388 | 24.0¢ | $1.01K | Losing−$7.36 per $100 · 1,390 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 1,200 | 82.2¢ | $924 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
| RememberAmalek0x6139…6b7a | No | 919 | 62.3¢ | $708 | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 2,102 bets |
| CosmicCedar0xdacf…3c74 | Yes | 2,470 | 23.4¢ | $568 | — |
| ifyouloveme0x5a0d…fa97 | No | 550 | 66.9¢ | $424 | Positive+$2.57 per $100 · 549 bets |
| StarMaster0xeca0…e8f8 | No | 500 | 79.7¢ | $385 | Proven+$2.31 per $100 · 4,789 bets |
| 0xwordjnn0x0bef…3b06 | No | 435 | 88.0¢ | $335 | Losing−$4.39 per $100 · 685 bets |
| televisionloud0x6c1c…1ac2 | No | 300 | 79.0¢ | $231 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 1,838 bets |
| Chims0xeec5…b6fe | No | 223 | 87.0¢ | $172 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 220 | 85.0¢ | $169 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| Dapsy0x73d2…f9b7 | No | 200 | 85.0¢ | $154 | — |
| Digital-Boy0xfe41…9f23 | No | 144 | 84.0¢ | $111 | Losing−$5.45 per $100 · 4,338 bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 83 | 77.2¢ | $64 | Losing−$11.36 per $100 · 30,622+ bets · updating |
| 0x9495…468f | No | 73 | 84.0¢ | $56 | Losing−$4.13 per $100 · 12,731 bets |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | No | 70 | 86.0¢ | $54 | Positive+$3.65 per $100 · 14,566 bets |
| hping020x9e25…afd6 | No | 62 | 75.0¢ | $48 | — |
| mantou110x54db…0174 | Yes | 194 | 23.0¢ | $45 | — |
| The-Defect0xac6a…2ed3 | No | 56 | 87.0¢ | $43 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 139 | 32.0¢ | $32 | — |
| cynthiafowler0xfadd…c0f8 | No | 38 | 66.0¢ | $29 | — |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | 120 | 17.0¢ | $28 | — |
| Fishcup0xd031…f613 | No | 33 | 75.0¢ | $26 | — |
| frontiertrade0xbcc4…fbde | Yes | 80 | 17.0¢ | $18 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 76 | 46.0¢ | $17 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| abc30x22a4…13e5 | No | 21 | 89.0¢ | $16 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 21 | 76.0¢ | $16 | Losing−$2.67 per $100 · 123,278+ bets · updating |
| Penooooo0x615f…5f37 | No | 20 | 77.7¢ | $15 | — |
| kiohssudhhd0xd0a5…3e7f | No | 18 | 86.0¢ | $14 | — |
| KimchiCapital0x9578…f066 | Yes | 60 | 17.6¢ | $14 | — |
| winexecutescale0xfe93…8d0e | No | 17 | 72.8¢ | $13 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 16 | 83.5¢ | $12 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| ViscaElBarca0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | 50 | 48.0¢ | $12 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 14 | 77.0¢ | $11 | Proven+$3.95 per $100 · 66,044 bets |
| 0x0174…95b0 | Yes | 38 | 26.0¢ | $9 | — |
| asdfasd110x0680…4ba7 | No | 10 | 77.0¢ | $8 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 6,249 bets |
| ddd333aaa0x1dc1…5f5b | No | 10 | 81.0¢ | $8 | Positive+$1.12 per $100 · 4,786 bets |
| bbd113d0x3c7b…6863 | No | 10 | 81.0¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.31 per $100 · 3,847 bets |
| lll918dd0x6250…f49a | No | 10 | 77.0¢ | $8 | Proven+$2.83 per $100 · 2,915 bets |
| ddaasdf0x9209…a393 | No | 10 | 81.0¢ | $8 | — |
| aaadda0xa840…87f7 | No | 10 | 81.0¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.45 per $100 · 4,316 bets |
| Sui0070xce62…cee0 | Yes | 21 | 24.0¢ | $5 | — |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | Yes | 20 | 24.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.0x29ed…a8da | Yes | 20 | 55.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$3.37 per $100 · 13,656 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 5 | 76.0¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,938 bets |
| 0xb5ab…03a9 | No | 5 | 59.3¢ | $4 | — |
| big-bird10xa58f…cec8 | No | 4 | 80.6¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 12,992 bets |
| 0x377f…e8f9 | No | 3 | 74.8¢ | $2 | Proven+$7.36 per $100 · 217 bets |
| 0x34de…6d75 | Yes | 8 | 25.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Anjun0x4337…8882 | Yes | 4 | 20.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.08 per $100 · 22,020 bets |
| EmethN1l23670xbdf9…7083 | Yes | 4 | 48.0¢ | $1 | — |
| cy6erpunker0x2783…8321 | No | 1 | 79.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 702 bets |
| alemania920x4fc2…05ee | No | 1 | 83.0¢ | $1 | — |
| P0020x64f8…db66 | Yes | 4 | 26.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.71 per $100 · 772 bets |
| Escumish0x1924…dff3 | No | 1 | 88.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$5.92 per $100 · 3,247 bets |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | Yes | 2 | 18.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$3.71 per $100 · 4,954 bets |
| AiBird0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | 2 | 41.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.45 per $100 · 14,377 bets |
| Sp0rtBaby0x8482…3f7a | No | 0 | 86.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.62 per $100 · 14,498 bets |
| monoclith0x24e8…4546 | Yes | 1 | 55.0¢ | $0 | — |
| JsonStatham0x625b…22cf | No | 0 | 76.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.12 per $100 · 9,353 bets |
| MMNiam0x949e…f5f2 | Yes | 0 | 19.4¢ | $0 | — |
| kor-and-m0x0b14…f1f5 | Yes | 0 | 18.0¢ | $0 | — |
| rocky420180xeda0…7dff | Yes | 0 | 33.3¢ | $0 | — |
| maomao2280xfe46…6133 | Yes | 0 | 24.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 0 | 45.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,685 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
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