Market · 22 of 23 outcomes
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 13:07 UTC. Not financial advice.
11 more outcomes in this event.
US 2026 midterms · 692 events · $32.4M in play
Exactly one of this event's 23 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xheavy8880xec98…afcd | No | 9,373 | 51.9¢ | $9.37K | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 17,744 bets |
| 0x26b2…4486 | No | 3,000 | 96.1¢ | $3K | Losing |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Gohst0x2d4b…ca7a | No | 2,660 | 15.0¢ | $2.66K | Proven+$80.31 per $100 · 2,060 bets |
| 0x095d…52cf | No | 1,287 | 96.3¢ | $1.29K | Losing−$2.80 per $100 · 676 bets |
| melganis0x0bfb…26a7 | No | 200 | 96.3¢ | $200 | Proven+$4.74 per $100 · 2,886 bets |
| VortexTrading0x41c7…0df5 | No | 100 | 96.1¢ | $100 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 5,248 bets |