Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-08 House seat?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 07:55 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SitsToPee0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | 353 | 94.1¢ | $335 | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 2,023 bets |
| nicoco890x7ac8…77cd | Yes | 288 | 90.6¢ | $273 | Proven+$9.43 per $100 · 2,475 bets |
| purplegatto0x032e…2a9e | Yes | 255 | 96.2¢ | $242 | Losing−$7.02 per $100 · 15,941 bets |
| 0x275c…6090 | Yes | 138 | 93.3¢ | $131 | — |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 84 | 96.2¢ | $80 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 81 | 93.1¢ | $77 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,938 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 663 events · $32.3M in play
These 2 outcomes add up to 98.1¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.