Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-08 House seat?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 09:00 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SitsToPee0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | 353 | 94.1¢ | $335 | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 2,023 bets |
| nicoco890x7ac8…77cd | Yes | 288 | 90.6¢ | $273 | Proven+$9.43 per $100 · 2,475 bets |
| purplegatto0x032e…2a9e | Yes | 255 | 96.2¢ | $242 | Losing−$7.02 per $100 · 15,941 bets |
| 0x275c…6090 | Yes | 138 | 93.3¢ | $131 | — |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 84 | 96.2¢ | $80 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 81 | 93.1¢ | $77 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,940 bets |
| 0x120b…ee03 | Yes | 81 | 94.0¢ | $77 | — |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | 50 | 95.5¢ | $48 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,201 bets |
| rondon890x2177…3fb4 | Yes | 48 | 92.0¢ | $45 | Losing−$1.29 per $100 · 226 bets |
| almondlover90xdd45…59b2 | Yes | 32 | 91.0¢ | $31 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | No | 242 | 6.9¢ | $12 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 8,489 bets |
| Vollhorst0xe3a6…8297 | Yes | 11 | 93.0¢ | $10 | — |
| Biver520xec82…6eaa | No | 200 | 6.1¢ | $10 | Positive+$3.72 per $100 · 13,010 bets |
| 0xd1f8…73ab | Yes | 11 | 95.2¢ | $10 | — |
| YouSayUpISayDown0xf6f6…0e74 | No | 163 | 18.6¢ | $8 | — |
| parklsonstt0x3165…a6ac | Yes | 9 | 94.0¢ | $8 | Losing−$3.07 per $100 · 110 bets |
| edenmoonff0x5278…8a01 | Yes | 9 | 93.0¢ | $8 | Losing−$5.36 per $100 · 112 bets |
| pinasblanket0x586f…dbc2 | Yes | 9 | 93.0¢ | $8 | — |
| Barcafansaodk0x64a1…bf48 | Yes | 9 | 93.0¢ | $8 | Losing−$3.78 per $100 · 112 bets |
| zerosmarket0x7ff6…9e62 | Yes | 9 | 93.0¢ | $8 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 117 bets |
| wydsugwg0xbf36…b567 | Yes | 9 | 94.0¢ | $8 | — |
| yuyuyre0xf24f…9806 | Yes | 9 | 94.0¢ | $8 | — |
| ckwes0xf49b…b6ab | Yes | 9 | 93.0¢ | $8 | — |
| xujimatrix0x85cb…db4a | Yes | 5 | 96.2¢ | $5 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 50 | 8.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.67 per $100 · 123,278+ bets · updating |
| Rain-Prob-010x57f5…c1c9 | No | 25 | 8.3¢ | $1 | — |
| ox7a8Fe7b6934c1B5CdA555FBD5731a57E2683D9ee0x7a8f…d9ee | Yes | 1 | 94.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x3c4f…b2be | No | 18 | 6.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.20 per $100 · 398 bets |
| pxb96v3clwti0xedd8…b939 | Yes | 1 | 96.1¢ | $1 | — |
| MartinaPampas0xfbf2…887d | No | 3 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| darkestpool0x1044…8ceb | Yes | 0 | 93.3¢ | $0 | — |
| thepolwinner0x3078…0389 | No | 2 | 8.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.66 per $100 · 30,956 bets |
| elpatrondelaciudad0x156b…0f5b | Yes | 0 | 95.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 16r0ob0x0b34…ffc3 | No | 0 | 6.0¢ | $0 | — |
| reeeree0xe6a2…6555 | Yes | 0 | 94.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 666 events · $32.3M in play