Market · 4 of 12 outcomes
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 17:12 UTC. Not financial advice.
These 12 outcomes add up to 97.4¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Te0n20xd950…ad1b | No | 392 | 87.0¢ | $353 | Proven+$3.06 per $100 · 3,908 bets |
| paddaa0x60a9…5a71 | Yes | 2,215 | 1.9¢ | $222 | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Dondigidin0x07b9…0fbb | No | 200 | 88.0¢ | $180 | Positive+$1.72 per $100 · 993 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 121 | 86.7¢ | $109 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,341+ bets · updating |
| 0xa169…1b73 | No | 100 | 87.5¢ | $90 | — |
| orihas0x9360…8dd7 | Yes | 768 | 13.5¢ | $77 | — |
US 2026 midterms · 769 events · $33.5M in play
Exactly one of this event's 12 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.