Market · 3 of 12 outcomes
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 06:23 UTC. Not financial advice.
These 12 outcomes add up to 112.3¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 175 | 11.0¢ | $31 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 123,093 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 89.4¢ | $17 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,334 bets |
| buoys0x7e35…1a6c | Yes | 50 | 11.0¢ | $9 | Positive+$11.47 per $100 · 2,029 bets |
| POB-T0x41e6…66b7 | No | 8 | 85.0¢ | $7 | Losing−$4.82 per $100 · 8,567 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 19 | 11.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| Sergei2730xabaa…bf96 | Yes | 14 | 15.7¢ | $2 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 659 events · $32.2M in play
Exactly one of this event's 12 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.