Market · 1 of 12 outcomes
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 22:43 UTC. Not financial advice.
These 12 outcomes add up to 115.8¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Snoorrason0x805a…0635 | No | 17,556 | 63.4¢ | $12.1K | Positive+$2.75 per $100 · 6,230 bets |
| paddaa0x60a9…5a71 | No | 16,201 | 71.0¢ | $11.2K | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| mr.ozi0x614d…1546 | Yes | 20,893 | 31.7¢ | $6.48K | Proven+$4.92 per $100 · 2,289 bets |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | No | 4,929 | 67.8¢ | $3.4K | Losing−$7.34 per $100 · 1,388 bets |
| buoys0x7e35…1a6c | Yes | 7,587 | 33.0¢ | $2.35K | Positive+$11.47 per $100 · 2,029 bets |
| Rex4160x9a3f…914a | No | 2,500 | 72.0¢ | $1.72K | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 6,881 bets |
US 2026 midterms · 619 events · $32.1M in play
Exactly one of this event's 12 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.