Market · 6 of 12 outcomes
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Naftali Bennett become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 17:00 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 98.7¢ | $18 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,106 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 130 | 1.4¢ | $10 | Losing−$2.61 per $100 · 123,902+ bets · updating |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 58 | 0.5¢ | $4 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| Snoorrason0x805a…0635 | Yes | 30 | 1.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$2.75 per $100 · 6,247 bets |
| lololol30xb155…2d7a | Yes | 23 | 0.6¢ | $2 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 20 | 3.1¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 130,993 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
These 12 outcomes add up to 125.0¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2026 midterms · 713 events · $33.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 12 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.