Market · 6 of 12 outcomes
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Naftali Bennett become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 05:50 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 98.7¢ | $19 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,869 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 130 | 1.4¢ | $9 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,686+ bets · updating |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 58 | 0.5¢ | $4 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| Snoorrason0x805a…0635 | Yes | 30 | 1.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$2.75 per $100 · 6,247 bets |
| lololol30xb155…2d7a | Yes | 23 | 0.6¢ | $2 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 20 | 3.1¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 20 | 2.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$8.68 per $100 · 128,177 bets |
| 0x9b12…c2d5 | No | 1 | 98.9¢ | $0 | — |
| luciebot0x17dd…944c | Yes | 0 | 2.4¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 738 events · $33.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 12 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.