Market · 2 of 12 outcomes
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 04:06 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| paddaa0x60a9…5a71 | No | 1,208 | 75.7¢ | $985 | Proven+$5.20 per $100 · 2,221 bets |
| PCMTest0x51b1…7865 | No | 600 | 73.1¢ | $489 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| TheBasementView0xa8f9…a794 |
| No |
| 350 |
| 73.8¢ |
| $285 |
| — |
| Te0n20xd950…ad1b | Yes | 1,072 | 26.0¢ | $198 | Proven+$3.06 per $100 · 3,908 bets |
| Snoorrason0x805a…0635 | No | 200 | 69.5¢ | $163 | Positive+$2.75 per $100 · 6,230 bets |
| Kutoba0x40b5…6b5f | Yes | 600 | 26.3¢ | $111 | — |
These 12 outcomes add up to 112.4¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2026 midterms · 651 events · $32.2M in play
Exactly one of this event's 12 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.