Market · 2 of 12 outcomes
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 08:02 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| paddaa0x60a9…5a71 | No | 1,208 | 75.7¢ | $985 | Proven+$5.20 per $100 · 2,221 bets |
| PCMTest0x51b1…7865 | No | 600 | 73.1¢ | $489 | — |
| TheBasementView0xa8f9…a794 | No | 350 | 73.8¢ | $285 | — |
| Te0n20xd950…ad1b | Yes | 1,072 | 26.0¢ | $198 | Proven+$3.06 per $100 · 3,908 bets |
| Snoorrason0x805a…0635 | No | 200 | 69.5¢ | $163 | Positive+$2.75 per $100 · 6,230 bets |
| Kutoba0x40b5…6b5f | Yes | 600 | 26.3¢ | $111 | Break-even−$0.59 per $100 · 606 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 100 | 80.4¢ | $82 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| 0x0fca…90de | Yes | 400 | 28.2¢ | $74 | New96 settled bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 392 | 24.0¢ | $73 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,637 bets |
| 0opj4kuu4xb20x3500…07f0 | No | 68 | 93.1¢ | $55 | Losing−$12.60 per $100 · 4,915 bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 38 | 81.0¢ | $31 | Losing−$11.36 per $100 · 30,622+ bets · updating |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 28 | 80.0¢ | $23 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| predictdogepepewif0xf524…8178 | Yes | 120 | 24.5¢ | $22 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 11,425 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 113 | 25.5¢ | $21 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 123,093 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 73.8¢ | $16 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,396 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 61 | 8.0¢ | $11 | Positive+$6.99 per $100 · 29,969+ bets · updating |
| Laribobibo0x721a…9295 | Yes | 48 | 27.0¢ | $9 | — |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | 28 | 27.0¢ | $5 | — |
| Tallguy25270x0cf6…3ed9 | Yes | 20 | 32.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$4.17 per $100 · 8,350 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 17 | 19.6¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 0xf528…7e5b | No | 1 | 71.8¢ | $1 | — |
| LordSantiago0xd2c8…4675 | Yes | 3 | 29.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x9b12…c2d5 | No | 1 | 74.8¢ | $0 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 0 | 74.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.63 per $100 · 127,579 bets |
| JsonStatham0x625b…22cf | Yes | 0 | 27.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.12 per $100 · 9,353 bets |
| spacexstar0xb06c…b574 | No | 0 | 73.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.94 per $100 · 614 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 666 events · $32.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 12 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.