Market · 8 of 12 outcomes
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:41 UTC. Not financial advice.
These 12 outcomes add up to 109.5¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Snoorrason0x805a…0635 | No | 54 | 96.0¢ | $52 | Positive+$2.75 per $100 · 6,230 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 95.7¢ | $19 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,027 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 156 | 4.1¢ | $5 | Losing−$2.76 per $100 · 122,728 bets |
| 0x0fca…90de | Yes | 100 | 3.0¢ | $3 | New96 settled bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 62 | 4.8¢ | $2 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| 0x9b12…c2d5 | No | 1 | 97.1¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 623 events · $32.1M in play
Exactly one of this event's 12 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.