Market · 12 of 12 outcomes
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:21 UTC. Not financial advice.
These 12 outcomes add up to 112.8¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Snoorrason0x805a…0635 | No | 41 | 90.0¢ | $41 | Positive+$2.75 per $100 · 6,247 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 96.4¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,988 bets |
| Asifp0x0dd6…0274 | No | 9 | 97.1¢ | $9 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 108 | 0.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 85 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.59 per $100 · 123,775 bets |
| jackli0030x550f…7dad | Yes | 53 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 696 events · $32.6M in play
Exactly one of this event's 12 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.