Market · 12 of 12 outcomes
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 01:46 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Snoorrason0x805a…0635 | No | 41 | 90.0¢ | $41 | Positive+$2.75 per $100 · 6,247 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 96.4¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,710 bets |
| Asifp0x0dd6…0274 | No | 9 | 97.1¢ | $9 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 108 | 0.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 85 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.50 per $100 · 124,565+ bets · updating |
| jackli0030x550f…7dad | Yes | 53 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9b12…c2d5 | Yes | 26 | 2.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 20 | 3.7¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| lololol30xb155…2d7a | Yes | 18 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 9 | 3.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| E23Lowriajksb9182912-as-q0x5f9f…a179 | Yes | 7 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 5 | 2.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 128,061 bets |
| luciebot0x17dd…944c | Yes | 0 | 2.4¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 727 events · $33.2M in play
Exactly one of this event's 12 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.