Market · 3 of 12 outcomes
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 12:56 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 175 | 11.0¢ | $31 | Losing−$2.63 per $100 · 123,481+ bets · updating |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 89.4¢ | $17 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,477 bets |
| buoys0x7e35…1a6c | Yes | 50 | 11.0¢ | $9 | Positive+$11.50 per $100 · 2,033 bets |
| POB-T0x41e6…66b7 | No | 8 | 85.0¢ | $7 | Losing−$4.82 per $100 · 8,567 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 19 | 11.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| Sergei2730xabaa…bf96 | Yes | 14 | 15.7¢ | $2 | — |
| ddadsf0x9d17…c777 | Yes | 10 | 11.0¢ | $2 | — |
| sadfsadf0xd47c…c70a | Yes | 10 | 11.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xa39f…fbdb | Yes | 5 | 11.0¢ | $1 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 5 | 11.0¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 0x9b12…c2d5 | No | 1 | 89.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x6fbc…fa10 | Yes | 2 | 11.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.87 per $100 · 1,441 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 0 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 0 | 89.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,694 bets |
| luciebot0x17dd…944c | Yes | 0 | 2.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Snoorrason0x805a…0635 | Yes | 0 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.75 per $100 · 6,247 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 692 events · $32.4M in play
Exactly one of this event's 12 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.