Market · 4 of 12 outcomes
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 10:28 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Te0n20xd950…ad1b | No | 392 | 87.0¢ | $359 | Proven+$3.06 per $100 · 3,908 bets |
| paddaa0x60a9…5a71 | Yes | 2,215 | 1.9¢ | $188 | Proven+$5.24 per $100 · 2,247 bets |
| Dondigidin0x07b9…0fbb | No | 200 | 88.0¢ | $183 | Positive+$1.74 per $100 · 1,003 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 121 | 86.7¢ | $111 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,953 bets |
| 0xa169…1b73 | No | 100 | 87.5¢ | $92 | — |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | No | 79 | 87.9¢ | $73 | Positive+$1.64 per $100 · 30,002+ bets · updating |
| orihas0x9360…8dd7 | Yes | 768 | 13.5¢ | $65 | — |
| Sp0rtBaby0x8482…3f7a | No | 40 | 88.0¢ | $37 | Break-even−$0.62 per $100 · 14,498 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 345 | 12.7¢ | $29 | Losing−$2.49 per $100 · 125,659+ bets · updating |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 88.4¢ | $18 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 195,833 bets |
| Snoorrason0x805a…0635 | No | 19 | 86.0¢ | $17 | Positive+$2.75 per $100 · 6,247 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 82 | 12.4¢ | $7 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 60 | 13.0¢ | $5 | Positive+$14.42 per $100 · 54,827 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 13 | 2.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$5.52 per $100 · 88,519 bets |
| 0x9b12…c2d5 | No | 1 | 87.6¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.59 per $100 · 28,520+ bets · updating |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 0 | 85.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.70 per $100 · 128,785 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 783 events · $33.5M in play
Exactly one of this event's 12 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.