Market · 1 of 3 outcomes
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:57 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hyperlong0x014c…820c | Yes | 8,180 | 92.3¢ | $7.48K | Break-even−$0.64 per $100 · 1,141 bets |
| AngryRhino0xdf70…5e92 | Yes | 5,077 | 92.3¢ | $4.65K | Break-even |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| lug0xe0db…f44e | Yes | 3,000 | 90.0¢ | $2.75K | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 4,496 bets |
| mrworldwide0x98d0…f14a | Yes | 2,381 | 91.3¢ | $2.18K | Proven+$8.95 per $100 · 1,841 bets |
| lastminwin0xb5d1…6e35 | No | 22,533 | 8.0¢ | $1.92K | New6 settled bets |
| Rpzcz0x76f9…f701 | Yes | 1,522 | 92.3¢ | $1.39K | — |
US 2026 midterms · 646 events · $32.2M in play
Exactly one of this event's 3 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
These 3 outcomes add up to 97.6¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.