Market · 3 of 3 outcomes
Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:37 UTC. Not financial advice.
These 3 outcomes add up to 97.7¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | No | 555 | 92.1¢ | $552 | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| immanuelcan0x04b9…79e0 | No | 131 | 88.6¢ | $130 | Positive |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| MarcTwixxx0x9bb7…45de | No | 50 | 98.6¢ | $50 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 18 | 99.5¢ | $18 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| lemov0x1f03…f6fd | No | 17 | 94.2¢ | $17 | — |
| mwenya0xde04…fa37 | No | 17 | 96.7¢ | $17 | Break-even+$0.71 per $100 · 30,038+ bets · updating |
US 2026 midterms · 625 events · $32.1M in play
Exactly one of this event's 3 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.