Market · 3 of 3 outcomes
Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 04:00 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | No | 555 | 92.1¢ | $552 | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| immanuelcan0x04b9…79e0 | No | 131 | 88.6¢ | $130 | Positive+$1.13 per $100 · 2,550 bets |
| MarcTwixxx0x9bb7…45de | No | 50 | 98.6¢ | $50 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 18 | 99.5¢ | $18 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| lemov0x1f03…f6fd | No | 17 | 94.2¢ | $17 | — |
| mwenya0xde04…fa37 | No | 17 | 96.7¢ | $17 | Break-even+$0.71 per $100 · 30,038+ bets · updating |
| Vollhorst0xe3a6…8297 | No | 11 | 93.3¢ | $11 | — |
| 0xf85f…9800 | No | 8 | 89.8¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.53 per $100 · 919 bets |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | No | 8 | 90.0¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,726 bets |
| kookies970x78d0…a337 | No | 5 | 92.1¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xdd10…1f74 | No | 5 | 95.8¢ | $5 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 867 | 0.4¢ | $5 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 427 | 0.3¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.33 per $100 · 16,271 bets |
| FrankyFourFingers0xcdbf…1926 | Yes | 400 | 7.0¢ | $2 | — |
| rocky420060x85d5…bbf0 | No | 2 | 85.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x78b3…6dda | No | 2 | 99.6¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x5533…51ba | Yes | 280 | 1.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$3.29 per $100 · 18,335 bets |
| probability0x74f1…16a8 | Yes | 233 | 1.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 6,373 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 219 | 8.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| 0xfed7…1ead | Yes | 213 | 4.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 15rob0x2afd…deb4 | No | 1 | 89.8¢ | $1 | — |
| YungCapital0xdc89…ccea | Yes | 206 | 7.6¢ | $1 | — |
| jackli0030x550f…7dad | Yes | 200 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x4df7…c1bd | Yes | 197 | 15.3¢ | $1 | — |
| berrari0x572c…cdbd | No | 1 | 95.5¢ | $1 | — |
| overfatting0xddea…1ec6 | Yes | 172 | 0.6¢ | $1 | New3 settled bets |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 150 | 0.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$63.56 per $100 · 34,653+ bets · updating |
| RadioCCOD0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | 141 | 14.4¢ | $1 | Proven+$95.13 per $100 · 197 bets |
| no1biao0xdf08…cf97 | No | 1 | 88.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x68ca…9d92 | Yes | 102 | 9.8¢ | $1 | — |
| aliiz0xbea0…e19d | Yes | 100 | 9.7¢ | $1 | — |
| TradeDeficitArchitect0x477f…19aa | Yes | 100 | 12.7¢ | $1 | Proven+$6.37 per $100 · 2,801 bets |
| YouSayUpISayDown0xf6f6…0e74 | Yes | 100 | 7.7¢ | $1 | — |
| ciktan0x997c…398e | Yes | 83 | 10.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x0da3…67fa | Yes | 80 | 7.8¢ | $0 | — |
| conherence0xfd59…0231 | Yes | 79 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x4826…06a9 | Yes | 54 | 14.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x7bb6…5085 | Yes | 53 | 9.8¢ | $0 | — |
| LetTheGoodTimesRoll0x1408…b4f8 | No | 0 | 92.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 46 | 0.5¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 40 | 1.5¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,046 bets |
| 0xc6d7…4399 | Yes | 40 | 8.5¢ | $0 | — |
| JasonBrown0xbbc6…0c70 | Yes | 37 | 5.6¢ | $0 | — |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 34 | 1.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,514 bets |
| furtigan0x78ec…2d07 | Yes | 25 | 4.1¢ | $0 | — |
| z148g4rdo93y90xe7c2…be3e | Yes | 25 | 8.1¢ | $0 | — |
| p3eFbv0H3b0x0603…8f62 | Yes | 21 | 10.9¢ | $0 | — |
| SitsToPee0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | 21 | 7.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 2,023 bets |
| nexusoptimus0xa994…19a6 | Yes | 20 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xec4c…6994 | Yes | 20 | 7.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x2c8b…8f6f | Yes | 17 | 11.5¢ | $0 | — |
| northdrawer0xfd55…f905 | No | 0 | 99.7¢ | $0 | — |
| abc12311124410x5b29…e882 | Yes | 14 | 6.0¢ | $0 | — |
| viva.mexico0x40ed…3832 | Yes | 13 | 7.8¢ | $0 | — |
| pmai0x99e1…be17 | Yes | 13 | 9.9¢ | $0 | — |
| cs2vm10x9861…ffae | Yes | 12 | 10.9¢ | $0 | — |
| MoorishAtlas0x4769…914a | Yes | 10 | 10.6¢ | $0 | — |
| aguerra09.coinbase0xc326…8fcb | Yes | 10 | 10.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc572…15b9 | Yes | 9 | 11.9¢ | $0 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,034 bets |
| crazyyugo0x6a1f…1a60 | Yes | 9 | 11.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x79b1…bf80 | Yes | 8 | 6.0¢ | $0 | — |
| animal.bean0x2a25…8055 | Yes | 8 | 5.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x5b2b…1477 | Yes | 7 | 14.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x55e4…bf8a | Yes | 7 | 14.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x6fbc…fa10 | Yes | 7 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.85 per $100 · 1,378 bets |
| itzhakp0x9371…7afa | Yes | 5 | 9.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x2e59…123e | Yes | 5 | 2.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x4b35…da99 | Yes | 5 | 2.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 0 | 9.6¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,489 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 650 events · $32.2M in play
Exactly one of this event's 3 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.