Market · 3 of 3 outcomes
Will an independent win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:32 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FrozenParasite0x1f9e…4f1a | No | 37 | 91.1¢ | $37 | Proven+$21.36 per $100 · 1,797 bets |
| bernardbulletin0x1c14…0869 | No | 13 | 96.2¢ | $13 |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 1,762 | 7.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$5.58 per $100 · 87,195 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 1,306 | 7.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 100,985 bets |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | 452 | 7.7¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,726 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 418 | 7.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
1 account bets both sides equally · 2 shares each side · Show
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US 2026 midterms · 622 events · $32.1M in play
Exactly one of this event's 3 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.