Market · 3 of 3 outcomes
Will an independent win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:47 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FrozenParasite0x1f9e…4f1a | No | 37 | 91.1¢ | $37 | Proven+$21.36 per $100 · 1,797 bets |
| bernardbulletin0x1c14…0869 | No | 13 | 96.2¢ | $13 |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 1,762 | 7.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$5.59 per $100 · 87,227 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 1,306 | 7.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,011 bets |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | 452 | 7.7¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,726 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 418 | 7.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 320 | 6.5¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,087 bets |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 319 | 7.7¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,046 bets |
| Web3Wizardz0x3b66…26c9 | Yes | 240 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| VictorLudorum0x090a…0fa6 | Yes | 146 | 7.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.47 per $100 · 22,145 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 142 | 7.6¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 122,985 bets |
| YouSayUpISayDown0xf6f6…0e74 | Yes | 130 | 7.7¢ | $0 | — |
| korda770xa328…4977 | Yes | 127 | 7.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.82 per $100 · 42,898 bets |
| fourcoin15m0x0629…501d | Yes | 120 | 7.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$10.62 per $100 · 20,256 bets |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 120 | 7.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.67 per $100 · 14,485 bets |
| 0x4e72…ffb9 | Yes | 99 | 7.7¢ | $0 | — |
| alex200110x4868…a1c1 | Yes | 97 | 7.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.21 per $100 · 20,554 bets |
| fang19570xf82f…5ac5 | Yes | 80 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | 70 | 7.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 59 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$63.56 per $100 · 34,653+ bets · updating |
| 0xfbd8…4027 | Yes | 50 | 7.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.14 per $100 · 30,125+ bets · updating |
| quietparcel0x764b…6bad | Yes | 40 | 7.7¢ | $0 | — |
| haveagoodday0xae2a…384d | Yes | 40 | 7.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 12,103 bets |
| god837438940xe040…824f | Yes | 30 | 7.7¢ | $0 | — |
| moon-k58-lad0xc800…4117 | Yes | 23 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Hourglass0x1d8c…757a | Yes | 20 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 23,981 bets |
| RinaK330x6480…2ec2 | Yes | 20 | 0.6¢ | $0 | — |
| pestanimal0x7bbf…7ce5 | Yes | 20 | 4.2¢ | $0 | — |
| andy290xa75c…895e | Yes | 20 | 12.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PiEDawg0xcf43…b321 | Yes | 17 | 7.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$9.20 per $100 · 7,924 bets |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 13 | 2.7¢ | $0 | — |
| mildwindow270x9f20…12c3 | Yes | 10 | 7.7¢ | $0 | — |
| godblessme20260x7dcf…a7bd | Yes | 10 | 7.7¢ | $0 | — |
| smallreceipt0x942e…be27 | Yes | 10 | 7.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Yamaraja20xf5dc…9afe | Yes | 10 | 2.3¢ | $0 | — |
| mdfkreloaded0xe49b…bf64 | Yes | 8 | 16.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Anon3213213210x98ac…40d9 | Yes | 8 | 7.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Guesswho2020x1b10…ce9e | Yes | 7 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 7 | 3.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,514 bets |
| 52adsa0x5146…ac5e | Yes | 5 | 2.7¢ | $0 | — |
| ZakazDostavlen0x34dc…08e9 | Yes | 5 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 3 | 2.6¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,920 bets |
| paspor0x3dd2…9ab1 | Yes | 2 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.43 per $100 · 38,405+ bets · updating |
| anciano0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | 1 | 7.7¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.07 per $100 · 6,243 bets |
| 33dsadadsa0x2056…2dbe | Yes | 0 | 6.0¢ | $0 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 2 shares each side · Show
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US 2026 midterms · 629 events · $32.1M in play
Exactly one of this event's 3 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.