Market · 2 of 22 outcomes
Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 07:56 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bernardbulletin0x1c14…0869 | Yes | 1,859 | 90.0¢ | $1.81K | Proven+$11.17 per $100 · 2,364 bets |
| warptrading0x6f08…54d3 | Yes | 53 | 94.0¢ | $52 |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 39 | 95.9¢ | $38 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,938 bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 20 | 95.9¢ | $19 | Losing−$11.36 per $100 · 30,622+ bets · updating |
| rocky420010x5028…91c5 | No | 581 | 1.7¢ | $15 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 12,178 bets |
| mcphearson990xedc4…be57 | No | 233 | 4.5¢ | $6 | — |
US 2026 midterms · 663 events · $32.3M in play
10 more outcomes in this event.