Market · 2 of 22 outcomes
Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 09:11 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bernardbulletin0x1c14…0869 | Yes | 1,859 | 90.0¢ | $1.81K | Proven+$11.17 per $100 · 2,364 bets |
| warptrading0x6f08…54d3 | Yes | 53 | 94.0¢ | $52 | Losing−$1.09 per $100 · 10,198 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 39 | 95.9¢ | $38 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,940 bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 20 | 95.9¢ | $19 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| rocky420010x5028…91c5 | No | 581 | 1.7¢ | $15 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 12,178 bets |
| mcphearson990xedc4…be57 | No | 233 | 4.5¢ | $6 | — |
| SitsToPee0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | 6 | 96.5¢ | $6 | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 2,023 bets |
| 0x04b3…1b7e | Yes | 4 | 89.4¢ | $4 | — |
| stra-l110x4b81…f9b6 | No | 167 | 5.4¢ | $4 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 159 | 4.5¢ | $4 | Losing−$2.67 per $100 · 123,278+ bets · updating |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 153 | 12.2¢ | $4 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 118 | 2.2¢ | $3 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 62 | 2.9¢ | $2 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| Kianswei0x22c4…1314 | Yes | 2 | 96.2¢ | $2 | — |
| purplegatto0x032e…2a9e | No | 53 | 3.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.02 per $100 · 15,941 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | No | 52 | 4.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| Toyflagman0xed3c…8ae5 | No | 50 | 2.1¢ | $1 | — |
| BSS370x1e98…6345 | No | 50 | 1.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.13 per $100 · 15,893 bets |
| HiveH-tler0xf823…49e0 | No | 45 | 2.3¢ | $1 | — |
| Rain-Prob-010x57f5…c1c9 | No | 44 | 4.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x74d6…02a1 | Yes | 1 | 95.7¢ | $1 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 36 | 7.0¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,685 bets |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | No | 34 | 1.7¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| tweetmaster0xe215…1c22 | No | 31 | 5.1¢ | $1 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 31 | 5.0¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| V4grant0xf5bb…bdb8 | No | 23 | 4.5¢ | $1 | — |
| rdyfch0x164d…00cb | No | 21 | 14.5¢ | $1 | — |
| winexecutescale0xfe93…8d0e | No | 17 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | No | 13 | 1.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| 0xcec4…9258 | Yes | 0 | 96.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Biver520xec82…6eaa | No | 7 | 5.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.72 per $100 · 13,010 bets |
| 54sfds0x3de2…d073 | No | 4 | 3.6¢ | $0 | — |
| forwarding0x9343…d15e | No | 1 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| nc3iceibvtvetvbt0x765c…dbb6 | No | 1 | 2.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$18.76 per $100 · 22,737 bets |
| TraderProMax0x9474…5091 | No | 1 | 1.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa553…b5ad | Yes | 0 | 98.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x5533…51ba | No | 0 | 2.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.29 per $100 · 18,335 bets |
| Colala0x9cb3…1367 | No | 0 | 6.3¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 31,628 bets |
| dsoisoij0x2099…3024 | No | 0 | 1.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.03 per $100 · 7,043 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 668 events · $32.3M in play