Market · 1 of 11 outcomes
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:23 UTC. Not financial advice.
These 11 outcomes add up to 105.0¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2026 midterms · 639 events · $32.1M in play
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
11 proven traders are on Yes, 7 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RememberAmalek0x6139…6b7a | Yes | 69,884 | 25.4¢ | $26.9K | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 2,102 bets |
| BreakTheBank0xf031…c80c | Yes | 50,000 | 9.5¢ | $19.3K |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| eNakeVets0x3f3b…1d77 | No | 28,256 | 74.2¢ | $17.4K | Losing−$2.00 per $100 · 1,563 bets |
| taurusjiang0xd686…7806 | No | 15,292 | 74.4¢ | $9.4K | New11 settled bets |
| flawfence0x23d8…0288 | No | 11,826 | 63.3¢ | $7.27K | Proven+$3.89 per $100 · 729 bets |
| Folletin0x08c8…1da2 | No | 8,432 | 76.5¢ | $5.19K | Proven+$5.44 per $100 · 712 bets |