Market · 8 of 11 outcomes
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:53 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | No | 6,072 | 97.7¢ | $5.95K | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 5,415 bets |
| BreakTheBank0xf031…c80c | Yes | 49,517 | 9.5¢ | $966 | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| BetterFish0xc412…592d | No | 612 | 95.9¢ | $600 | — |
| Semen-Demon0xf440…2747 | Yes | 16,388 | 4.2¢ | $320 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 147 | 98.5¢ | $144 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,945 bets |
| safrter990x3aa9…ae2c | No | 100 | 98.4¢ | $98 | — |
These 11 outcomes add up to 103.8¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2026 midterms · 696 events · $32.6M in play
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.