Market · 8 of 11 outcomes
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 02:26 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | No | 6,072 | 97.7¢ | $5.93K | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 5,419 bets |
| BreakTheBank0xf031…c80c | Yes | 49,517 | 9.5¢ | $1.14K | Proven+$4.13 per $100 · 1,076 bets |
| BetterFish0xc412…592d | No | 612 | 95.9¢ | $598 | — |
| Semen-Demon0xf440…2747 | Yes | 16,388 | 4.2¢ | $377 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 147 | 98.5¢ | $144 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,989 bets |
| 0xcbdf…6a49 | Yes | 4,815 | 2.0¢ | $111 | New29 settled bets |
| Seutervoinen0xfaf6…cc47 | Yes | 4,441 | 9.1¢ | $102 | Proven+$3.58 per $100 · 489 bets |
| safrter990x3aa9…ae2c | No | 100 | 98.4¢ | $98 | — |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | No | 94 | 97.2¢ | $92 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 19,896 bets |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | 3,729 | 1.8¢ | $86 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,730 bets |
| wing12340x02ae…bad5 | Yes | 3,695 | 1.4¢ | $85 | Losing−$12.89 per $100 · 792 bets |
| MarketSmithBrad0x576e…f1cd | Yes | 3,486 | 1.9¢ | $80 | — |
| HowBoutThemCowboys0xe091…9549 | Yes | 3,417 | 3.2¢ | $79 | New30 settled bets |
| elisabetmaral0x37d5…31c3 | No | 50 | 98.4¢ | $49 | New40 settled bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 40 | 96.6¢ | $39 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,710 bets |
| RememberAmalek0x6139…6b7a | Yes | 1,500 | 8.2¢ | $35 | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 2,103 bets |
| Predictive-Market0x4cd9…35b9 | Yes | 1,497 | 0.8¢ | $34 | — |
| 0x413b…b488 | Yes | 1,333 | 1.6¢ | $31 | — |
| tradingjoe190x05cf…5fa9 | No | 30 | 98.9¢ | $29 | Proven+$2.32 per $100 · 119 bets |
| 0xf05f…ed10 | Yes | 1,143 | 1.8¢ | $26 | — |
| nufonehudis670x6b44…be1e | Yes | 1,019 | 2.9¢ | $23 | — |
| grinder10110xeed7…16b2 | Yes | 729 | 1.8¢ | $17 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 356 bets |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 704 | 2.6¢ | $16 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,518 bets |
| AttilaBot10x7954…48dc | No | 16 | 98.8¢ | $16 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 685 | 2.9¢ | $16 | Positive+$12.24 per $100 · 3,937 bets |
| nryy0xafbc…18c6 | No | 16 | 95.7¢ | $16 | — |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 652 | 5.0¢ | $15 | New0 settled bets |
| MasonsConqueredRome0x357e…2a0c | No | 13 | 94.1¢ | $13 | Losing−$1.92 per $100 · 1,137 bets |
| euanjs0x462c…53bf | Yes | 541 | 1.8¢ | $12 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 498 | 0.0¢ | $11 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,917 bets |
| wokerjoesleeper0x63d4…a2f1 | No | 11 | 99.0¢ | $11 | Break-even+$0.35 per $100 · 44,557 bets |
| gettr0x8791…6e5e | Yes | 313 | 1.7¢ | $7 | New65 settled bets |
| mln190x1088…b813 | Yes | 300 | 1.6¢ | $7 | — |
| Jur-1040xe237…124c | Yes | 300 | 1.6¢ | $7 | — |
| algo1680x2cfe…e4de | Yes | 293 | 5.8¢ | $7 | Losing−$3.01 per $100 · 5,266 bets |
| 0xc277…251a | No | 7 | 99.7¢ | $7 | — |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | 235 | 1.2¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,246 bets |
| BobbyBakedBeans0x8728…0882 | Yes | 226 | 4.1¢ | $5 | — |
| Gify880x6226…93a5 | Yes | 209 | 2.3¢ | $5 | — |
| Ardtysrt010x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | 196 | 2.1¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.50 per $100 · 6,078 bets |
| Majas0x4959…a6f5 | No | 4 | 94.6¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 22,612 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 172 | 7.4¢ | $4 | Losing−$2.50 per $100 · 124,565+ bets · updating |
| engri0xe184…08c5 | Yes | 167 | 1.9¢ | $4 | — |
| pharaoh0xc433…2937 | Yes | 130 | 1.5¢ | $3 | — |
| LR10xad28…1601 | Yes | 126 | 7.3¢ | $3 | Positive+$2.84 per $100 · 1,226 bets |
| BangsarJames0x93b0…40f4 | Yes | 125 | 4.0¢ | $3 | — |
| fm140x4b91…982d | Yes | 100 | 1.9¢ | $2 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 4,018 bets |
| akunai0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | 100 | 1.9¢ | $2 | Positive+$7.83 per $100 · 9,510 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 96 | 8.8¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| jennylulu20160xa19f…ddc2 | Yes | 94 | 5.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x1e75…63f1 | Yes | 89 | 4.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$6.06 per $100 · 2,545 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 88 | 1.2¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| ElowenVornik0x2dcb…d2f4 | No | 2 | 97.3¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xc7ff…1326 | No | 2 | 98.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x5533…51ba | Yes | 78 | 1.8¢ | $2 | Positive+$3.43 per $100 · 18,435 bets |
| 0xe802…8191 | Yes | 75 | 1.4¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xceb1…1931 | No | 2 | 98.8¢ | $1 | — |
| d78zdjt83wms0xded7…d983 | No | 1 | 100.5¢ | $1 | — |
| Melsonism0x230a…b9c6 | Yes | 56 | 1.9¢ | $1 | — |
| a5tthsyuo3c0x841c…b20d | Yes | 44 | 9.1¢ | $1 | — |
| cloth3460x20f0…49bc | No | 1 | 95.0¢ | $1 | — |
| pd.unique0x27ab…e521 | Yes | 41 | 0.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.06 per $100 · 30,847 bets |
| 0x8f8c…4268 | Yes | 41 | 1.6¢ | $1 | — |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 40 | 1.5¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,048 bets |
| tonnysoprano0xe3a0…f1f4 | No | 1 | 98.6¢ | $1 | — |
| NewsGurus0xc278…a116 | Yes | 35 | 3.6¢ | $1 | — |
| human.bean0x39fd…849e | Yes | 34 | 5.0¢ | $1 | — |
| paas20xa4bd…e8a2 | Yes | 30 | 7.2¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,816+ bets · updating |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 30 | 7.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x4e72…ffb9 | No | 1 | 97.9¢ | $1 | — |
| poshanka0x99d4…c2c6 | No | 1 | 96.1¢ | $1 | — |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | Yes | 26 | 9.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.64 per $100 · 30,002+ bets · updating |
| LetTheGoodTimesRoll0x1408…b4f8 | No | 0 | 95.8¢ | $0 | — |
| YonGlintvena0x05c0…89bb | No | 0 | 95.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x39b2…157c | No | 0 | 98.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 15rob0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | 3 | 4.1¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 9,823 bets |
| Asteris0x4fbf…b42d | No | 0 | 95.5¢ | $0 | — |
| chendlerizbist0xa31a…efc4 | No | 0 | 96.0¢ | $0 | — |
| skyrocks0xa3cf…1a67 | No | 0 | 99.0¢ | $0 | — |
| newtonsladel50x9646…d98d | No | 0 | 98.7¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 96.4¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | No | 0 | 96.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| pioneers20260xa5c7…7e7b | No | 0 | 95.7¢ | $0 | — |
| UbuntuTrading0xc3cd…816c | No | 0 | 96.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.63 per $100 · 9,376 bets |
| 0x42ac…bfdd | No | 0 | 94.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xcb7b…e3bc | No | 0 | 98.4¢ | $0 | — |
| chuby92080xb0c7…6fa8 | No | 0 | 94.1¢ | $0 | — |
| spirited01270x4aea…faae | No | 0 | 96.7¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 1,798 bets |
| nhadap0x4232…4159 | No | 0 | 96.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 88mnm880x3b1a…4221 | No | 0 | 95.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.95 per $100 · 8,246 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 0 | 98.6¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 128,061 bets |
| prose01280xc78d…87eb | No | 0 | 95.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 729 events · $33.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.