Market · 3 of 11 outcomes
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:36 UTC. Not financial advice.
These 11 outcomes add up to 104.2¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
9 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BreakTheBank0xf031…c80c | Yes | 50,000 | 9.5¢ | $6.25K | Proven+$3.66 per $100 · 1,063 bets |
| Seutervoinen0xfaf6…cc47 | Yes | 14,575 | 9.1¢ | $1.82K |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | 12,284 | 9.0¢ | $1.54K | Positive+$1.44 per $100 · 5,411 bets |
| johnnath12220x4b28…15df | Yes | 2,830 | 14.3¢ | $354 | — |
| Folletin0x08c8…1da2 | Yes | 2,734 | 16.4¢ | $342 | Proven+$5.44 per $100 · 712 bets |
| RadioCCOD0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | 2,099 | 18.4¢ | $262 | Proven+$95.13 per $100 · 197 bets |
US 2026 midterms · 615 events · $32M in play
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.