Market · 3 of 11 outcomes
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:43 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
9 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BreakTheBank0xf031…c80c | Yes | 50,000 | 9.5¢ | $6.25K | Proven+$4.09 per $100 · 1,071 bets |
| Seutervoinen0xfaf6…cc47 | Yes | 14,575 | 9.1¢ | $1.82K | Proven+$3.63 per $100 · 488 bets |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | 12,284 | 9.0¢ | $1.54K | Positive+$1.44 per $100 · 5,411 bets |
| johnnath12220x4b28…15df | Yes | 2,830 | 14.3¢ | $354 | — |
| Folletin0x08c8…1da2 | Yes | 2,734 | 16.4¢ | $342 | Proven+$5.44 per $100 · 712 bets |
| RadioCCOD0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | 2,099 | 18.4¢ | $262 | Proven+$95.13 per $100 · 197 bets |
| 0x0b91…ae77 | Yes | 1,552 | 13.0¢ | $194 | Proven+$10.22 per $100 · 659 bets |
| RememberAmalek0x6139…6b7a | Yes | 1,500 | 8.2¢ | $188 | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 2,102 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 1,199 | 5.0¢ | $150 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| Eatpraylove0xc021…1fa8 | Yes | 816 | 11.7¢ | $102 | Proven+$2.20 per $100 · 1,792 bets |
| IV70x5d05…aee5 | Yes | 800 | 13.0¢ | $100 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 718 | 5.5¢ | $90 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,254 bets |
| eNakeVets0x3f3b…1d77 | Yes | 640 | 16.0¢ | $80 | Losing−$2.00 per $100 · 1,563 bets |
| FrankyFourFingers0xcdbf…1926 | Yes | 600 | 16.0¢ | $75 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 70 | 87.6¢ | $61 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,920 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 66 | 86.0¢ | $57 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,170 bets |
| UbuntuTrading0xc3cd…816c | Yes | 374 | 9.1¢ | $47 | Positive+$1.56 per $100 · 9,359 bets |
| rainbowlilies0x2106…4dea | Yes | 313 | 17.9¢ | $39 | Positive+$6.97 per $100 · 10,606 bets |
| SenatorPalpatine0x7ab8…eb56 | Yes | 300 | 13.0¢ | $38 | — |
| ts1410xcd76…77bd | No | 42 | 88.0¢ | $37 | — |
| wing12340x02ae…bad5 | Yes | 285 | 11.4¢ | $36 | — |
| jq1230x9ad6…cc62 | Yes | 280 | 16.2¢ | $35 | — |
| longtermgains0xebdc…bf08 | Yes | 204 | 13.0¢ | $26 | — |
| spaceskeleton0x79d2…61ce | Yes | 202 | 16.6¢ | $25 | — |
| BettingBoi0xaee7…05e9 | Yes | 200 | 14.0¢ | $25 | Positive+$1.67 per $100 · 378 bets |
| MispricedPaladin0xde88…144c | Yes | 200 | 13.0¢ | $25 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 172 | 0.0¢ | $21 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,034 bets |
| ChilmarkGeneralStore0x6238…57c8 | Yes | 143 | 14.5¢ | $18 | — |
| rx780x5fde…cbbe | No | 20 | 83.0¢ | $18 | — |
| 0xbeef…620e | No | 20 | 87.0¢ | $18 | — |
| 0x5ea3…78bf | Yes | 137 | 14.5¢ | $17 | — |
| LR10xad28…1601 | Yes | 126 | 7.3¢ | $16 | Positive+$2.84 per $100 · 1,226 bets |
| Better-better0xd9ec…da36 | Yes | 125 | 16.5¢ | $16 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 122 | 9.1¢ | $15 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 122,985 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 117 | 9.8¢ | $15 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| nryy0xafbc…18c6 | No | 16 | 83.3¢ | $14 | — |
| BetterFish0xc412…592d | Yes | 100 | 13.0¢ | $13 | — |
| Majas0x4959…a6f5 | Yes | 96 | 13.0¢ | $12 | — |
| jennylulu20160xa19f…ddc2 | Yes | 94 | 5.0¢ | $12 | — |
| MasonsConqueredRome0x357e…2a0c | Yes | 92 | 12.0¢ | $12 | Losing−$1.92 per $100 · 1,136 bets |
| PutsOnPeace0x635d…5025 | Yes | 89 | 18.0¢ | $11 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 2,042 bets |
| algo1680x2cfe…e4de | Yes | 75 | 14.5¢ | $9 | Losing−$3.09 per $100 · 5,111 bets |
| ImNotBetting0x686d…1a68 | Yes | 74 | 15.3¢ | $9 | — |
| conherence0xfd59…0231 | No | 10 | 87.5¢ | $9 | — |
| 0xebb8…881c | Yes | 57 | 17.5¢ | $7 | — |
| aljarreau0x5a75…beb3 | Yes | 50 | 13.5¢ | $6 | — |
| handelman0x5b53…113d | Yes | 50 | 14.5¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x91c7…b576 | Yes | 50 | 12.0¢ | $6 | Losing−$1.95 per $100 · 584 bets |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 47 | 7.7¢ | $6 | Positive+$7.92 per $100 · 18,788 bets |
| Orion960x3069…f8ef | Yes | 45 | 22.0¢ | $6 | — |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 35 | 14.0¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,046 bets |
| baller110x9742…8559 | Yes | 33 | 15.5¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x26b0…b22d | Yes | 33 | 15.5¢ | $4 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 30 | 7.4¢ | $4 | — |
| human.bean0x39fd…849e | Yes | 29 | 5.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x3c88…3c17 | Yes | 26 | 19.0¢ | $3 | — |
| BigRabbit0xeb22…808a | Yes | 26 | 13.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$4.46 per $100 · 2,227 bets |
| jabbadabba0xbfba…9774 | No | 3 | 80.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xc7ff…1326 | No | 2 | 83.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 5atka0x1c26…6e31 | No | 2 | 83.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 6,495 bets |
| realmgow0x8526…8d34 | No | 1 | 87.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.28 per $100 · 119 bets |
| 0x4e72…ffb9 | No | 1 | 87.5¢ | $1 | — |
| poshanka0x99d4…c2c6 | No | 1 | 84.6¢ | $1 | — |
| newtonsladel50x9646…d98d | No | 0 | 85.5¢ | $0 | — |
| bigbrainchad0x113f…ae4d | No | 0 | 87.5¢ | $0 | — |
| dicen250x1a38…d8c3 | No | 0 | 83.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x0a1c…efaf | No | 0 | 79.0¢ | $0 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 0 | 86.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| 0x8328…935f | No | 0 | 82.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 642 events · $32.1M in play
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.