Market · 10 of 11 outcomes
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:37 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seutervoinen0xfaf6…cc47 | No | 2,367 | 99.2¢ | $2.35K | Proven+$3.63 per $100 · 488 bets |
| BetterFish0xc412…592d | No | 500 | 96.2¢ | $496 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| MasonsConqueredRome0x357e…2a0c |
| No |
| 500 |
| 98.1¢ |
| $496 |
| Losing−$1.92 per $100 · 1,136 bets |
| BreakTheBank0xf031…c80c | Yes | 50,000 | 9.5¢ | $375 | Proven+$3.66 per $100 · 1,063 bets |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | No | 152 | 99.2¢ | $151 | Positive+$1.44 per $100 · 5,411 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 148 | 98.7¢ | $147 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,912 bets |
US 2026 midterms · 615 events · $32M in play
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
These 11 outcomes add up to 104.2¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.