Market · 11 of 11 outcomes
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:45 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetterFish0xc412…592d | No | 500 | 96.2¢ | $497 | — |
| MasonsConqueredRome0x357e…2a0c | No | 500 | 98.1¢ | $497 | Losing−$1.92 per $100 · 1,136 bets |
| BreakTheBank0xf031…c80c | Yes | 50,000 | 9.5¢ | $275 | Proven+$3.66 per $100 · 1,063 bets |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | No | 152 | 99.2¢ | $151 | Positive+$1.44 per $100 · 5,411 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 148 | 98.7¢ | $147 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,914 bets |
| miaoxiaojie0xb3c8…2e5a | No | 123 | 99.0¢ | $122 | — |
| Predictive-Market0x4cd9…35b9 | Yes | 15,889 | 0.6¢ | $87 | — |
| buinfg0xf683…99e9 | No | 76 | 98.4¢ | $76 | — |
| warptrading0x6f08…54d3 | No | 56 | 89.0¢ | $56 | Losing−$1.09 per $100 · 10,198 bets |
| saqw4eew0x23d7…17fc | No | 50 | 98.6¢ | $50 | — |
| tomaenkidu0x3325…cae0 | No | 50 | 98.6¢ | $50 | — |
| nufonehudis670x6b44…be1e | Yes | 6,706 | 1.7¢ | $37 | — |
| grinder10110xeed7…16b2 | Yes | 5,467 | 1.4¢ | $30 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 356 bets |
| worldhappy0x0def…ab31 | No | 27 | 98.6¢ | $27 | — |
| conherence0xfd59…0231 | Yes | 4,139 | 0.9¢ | $23 | — |
| nryy0xafbc…18c6 | No | 16 | 98.6¢ | $16 | — |
| wokerjoesleeper0x63d4…a2f1 | No | 11 | 99.8¢ | $11 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 31,278+ bets · updating |
| offroadtms0x73d7…11b2 | Yes | 1,951 | 2.0¢ | $11 | — |
| MarketSmithBrad0x576e…f1cd | Yes | 1,859 | 5.4¢ | $10 | — |
| -FROMTHEFUTURE-0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | 1,763 | 0.8¢ | $10 | Losing−$12.39 per $100 · 523 bets |
| wing12340x02ae…bad5 | Yes | 1,369 | 0.9¢ | $8 | — |
| cobble0xe5c2…cfb5 | Yes | 1,172 | 1.9¢ | $6 | — |
| AttilaBot10x7954…48dc | No | 6 | 98.9¢ | $6 | — |
| efflo-polka0x4dd5…41dc | Yes | 1,001 | 0.7¢ | $6 | — |
| RememberAmalek0x6139…6b7a | Yes | 1,000 | 8.2¢ | $6 | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 2,102 bets |
| 0x2be0…6dee | No | 5 | 98.4¢ | $5 | — |
| BaliCowboy0x44d7…ff57 | Yes | 826 | 1.1¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x3d3c…7892 | No | 4 | 98.6¢ | $4 | — |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 652 | 49.9¢ | $4 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 508 | 0.2¢ | $3 | Proven+$3.50 per $100 · 13,216 bets |
| BobbyBakedBeans0x8728…0882 | Yes | 403 | 0.9¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xc7ff…1326 | No | 2 | 99.8¢ | $2 | — |
| engri0xe184…08c5 | Yes | 356 | 0.9¢ | $2 | — |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 326 | 1.9¢ | $2 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,514 bets |
| mln190x1088…b813 | Yes | 300 | 1.7¢ | $2 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 300 | 0.2¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| algo1680x2cfe…e4de | Yes | 299 | 1.4¢ | $2 | Losing−$3.09 per $100 · 5,111 bets |
| concertao0x08c9…a9cc | Yes | 299 | 1.4¢ | $2 | — |
| NotAnNFT0xc1a7…e106 | Yes | 286 | 3.6¢ | $2 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 202 | 0.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 100,985 bets |
| Viewbot0xdbe5…72da | No | 1 | 96.6¢ | $1 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 178 | 6.7¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.76 per $100 · 122,728 bets |
| 0x8e1a…e252 | Yes | 162 | 3.1¢ | $1 | — |
| LR10xad28…1601 | Yes | 126 | 7.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$2.84 per $100 · 1,226 bets |
| 234ksdj3s33sfe33rf0x8f38…7af9 | Yes | 126 | 0.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x4e72…ffb9 | No | 1 | 99.6¢ | $1 | — |
| poshanka0x99d4…c2c6 | No | 1 | 99.4¢ | $1 | — |
| edvpettersen0x4315…698a | Yes | 104 | 1.5¢ | $1 | — |
| QuantumUniverse0x26d4…2d8c | Yes | 100 | 0.6¢ | $1 | — |
| Rubic0070x486e…5534 | Yes | 94 | 1.3¢ | $1 | — |
| jennylulu20160xa19f…ddc2 | Yes | 94 | 5.0¢ | $1 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 90 | 5.4¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| gettr0x8791…6e5e | Yes | 71 | 1.5¢ | $0 | New65 settled bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 40 | 8.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,027 bets |
| pd.unique0x27ab…e521 | Yes | 37 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 30 | 7.4¢ | $0 | — |
| human.bean0x39fd…849e | Yes | 28 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | Yes | 26 | 9.1¢ | $0 | — |
| newtonsladel50x9646…d98d | No | 0 | 96.7¢ | $0 | — |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$874.43 per $100 · 26,254 bets |
| 3-mil-on-tour0x7595…872e | Yes | 6 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| a5tthsyuo3c0x841c…b20d | Yes | 6 | 9.1¢ | $0 | — |
| skyrocks0xa3cf…1a67 | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x39b2…157c | No | 0 | 96.9¢ | $0 | — |
| bigbrainchad0x113f…ae4d | No | 0 | 98.9¢ | $0 | — |
| chuby92080xb0c7…6fa8 | No | 0 | 98.8¢ | $0 | — |
| ImHereForTheRewards0x3a86…dea8 | No | 0 | 97.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.43 per $100 · 6,444 bets |
| dicen250x1a38…d8c3 | No | 0 | 98.5¢ | $0 | — |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | No | 0 | 88.5¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.37 per $100 · 13,129 bets |
| animal.bean0x2a25…8055 | Yes | 2 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 0 | 96.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| hhop0xa2e9…70b8 | No | 0 | 97.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xed88…0dfd | Yes | 1 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| pablopunkaso0x21bd…1206 | Yes | 1 | 1.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 15rob0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | 1 | 1.4¢ | $0 | — |
| pestanimal0x7bbf…7ce5 | Yes | 1 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 0 | 9.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.58 per $100 · 87,195 bets |
| 50sad0xb143…3c17 | Yes | 0 | 1.4¢ | $0 | — |
| rocky420110xe1f1…3a05 | Yes | 0 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 623 events · $32.1M in play
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.