Market · 1 of 11 outcomes
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 06:27 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2026 midterms · 659 events · $32.2M in play
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
11 proven traders are on Yes, 8 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RememberAmalek0x6139…6b7a | Yes | 69,884 | 25.4¢ | $26.9K | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 2,102 bets |
| BreakTheBank0xf031…c80c | Yes | 50,000 | 9.5¢ | $19.3K | Proven+$4.09 per $100 · 1,073 bets |
| eNakeVets0x3f3b…1d77 | No | 28,256 | 74.2¢ | $17.4K | Losing−$2.00 per $100 · 1,563 bets |
| taurusjiang0xd686…7806 | No | 15,292 | 74.4¢ | $9.4K | New11 settled bets |
| flawfence0x23d8…0288 | No | 11,826 | 63.3¢ | $7.27K | Proven+$3.89 per $100 · 729 bets |
| Folletin0x08c8…1da2 | No | 8,432 | 76.5¢ | $5.19K | Proven+$5.44 per $100 · 712 bets |
| nufonehudis670x6b44…be1e | Yes | 12,784 | 23.1¢ | $4.92K | — |
| OkaneKasegu0x5d74…ee45 | No | 6,610 | 76.5¢ | $4.07K | Positive+$1.35 per $100 · 710 bets |
| HotDogs0x5c60…67c1 | No | 6,294 | 84.7¢ | $3.87K | — |
| lastminwin0xb5d1…6e35 | Yes | 7,435 | 30.2¢ | $2.86K | New6 settled bets |
| 0x6c10…df5c | No | 4,629 | 70.8¢ | $2.85K | Losing−$7.13 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| ChoYou0x1bc9…918e | Yes | 6,218 | 37.8¢ | $2.39K | New2 settled bets |
| grinder10110xeed7…16b2 | No | 3,678 | 69.5¢ | $2.26K | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 356 bets |
| 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e050xe234…304a | Yes | 5,350 | 32.6¢ | $2.06K | Positive+$1.71 per $100 · 625 bets |
| pantomime0xd039…2532 | No | 3,103 | 62.7¢ | $1.91K | Proven+$2.11 per $100 · 3,792 bets |
| Loyalty-Crash0x44d9…4c1a | Yes | 4,900 | 24.5¢ | $1.89K | Proven+$15.37 per $100 · 180 bets |
| Seutervoinen0xfaf6…cc47 | Yes | 4,583 | 9.1¢ | $1.76K | Proven+$3.63 per $100 · 488 bets |
| tkdnbb0xab56…86d2 | Yes | 4,341 | 40.1¢ | $1.67K | New1 settled bet |
| ocpna0x3106…d672 | Yes | 4,130 | 37.0¢ | $1.59K | Proven+$7.77 per $100 · 335 bets |
| IV70x5d05…aee5 | No | 2,500 | 74.0¢ | $1.54K | — |
| Golftango0x5e53…922d | Yes | 3,227 | 28.7¢ | $1.24K | Losing−$7.40 per $100 · 1,134 bets |
| zerosmart0x2755…5016 | Yes | 2,869 | 36.6¢ | $1.1K | Proven+$75.16 per $100 · 154 bets |
| g1280x88d7…5762 | Yes | 2,777 | 30.8¢ | $1.07K | — |
| RadioCCOD0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | 2,500 | 14.7¢ | $963 | Proven+$95.13 per $100 · 197 bets |
| iraa30xad60…97f4 | No | 1,500 | 75.5¢ | $922 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 259 bets |
| pharaoh0xc433…2937 | No | 1,353 | 67.7¢ | $832 | — |
| Mecky0xa82b…5220 | Yes | 2,064 | 37.8¢ | $794 | Positive+$3.93 per $100 · 2,966 bets |
| Malganis0x4bf4…7021 | Yes | 2,061 | 27.8¢ | $794 | Break-even+$0.36 per $100 · 3,292 bets |
| .0.0x6cf8…042f | Yes | 2,022 | 23.8¢ | $779 | Proven+$14.61 per $100 · 149 bets |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | 1,900 | 18.8¢ | $732 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 5,413 bets |
| 0x060e…ac12 | Yes | 1,896 | 27.2¢ | $730 | — |
| Keparo0xbc17…289a | Yes | 1,828 | 28.0¢ | $704 | — |
| stu0x84b0…5bc8 | No | 1,060 | 69.6¢ | $652 | — |
| xilan0xd95a…8aad | No | 1,050 | 74.0¢ | $646 | — |
| COCOA0xd975…c6d6 | No | 1,005 | 73.2¢ | $618 | — |
| JosephTrump0x97af…9bc6 | No | 983 | 62.7¢ | $605 | Positive+$1.25 per $100 · 470 bets |
| winner1230x0b97…0efe | No | 881 | 77.7¢ | $542 | Losing−$1.99 per $100 · 509 bets |
| trerira0x18ab…bae4 | No | 805 | 76.3¢ | $495 | Positive+$1.77 per $100 · 179 bets |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 | No | 800 | 59.5¢ | $492 | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
| dumbledog0xfd1b…e3b3 | Yes | 1,258 | 40.7¢ | $484 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 730 | 15.0¢ | $449 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| rocky420110xe1f1…3a05 | Yes | 1,132 | 23.0¢ | $436 | — |
| engri0xe184…08c5 | No | 677 | 62.9¢ | $417 | — |
| dedidanc0x11f8…ed31 | No | 662 | 73.6¢ | $407 | Proven+$11.02 per $100 · 220 bets |
| whispercatalyst0x460a…d738 | No | 662 | 75.8¢ | $407 | Break-even−$0.54 per $100 · 3,695 bets |
| tango-caomeigu0x8c8b…867b | No | 658 | 76.0¢ | $405 | — |
| windscreenwipers0xa8f3…e544 | Yes | 1,000 | 25.2¢ | $385 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 7,716 bets |
| 0xf27d…e6d3 | No | 600 | 60.3¢ | $369 | Positive+$7.37 per $100 · 1,338 bets |
| theginth0xbd62…6a7e | No | 538 | 73.8¢ | $331 | — |
| Nobody230410x45cc…6400 | Yes | 850 | 37.9¢ | $327 | Break-even+$0.54 per $100 · 2,121 bets |
| 0x2577…0f0e | No | 526 | 76.0¢ | $324 | — |
| pompey0xbbae…13f8 | No | 513 | 78.7¢ | $315 | — |
| PigsandBattleships0x1188…1d1f | Yes | 800 | 31.9¢ | $308 | New27 settled bets |
| zetbetter0x6512…5291 | No | 500 | 62.0¢ | $308 | Proven+$4.12 per $100 · 680 bets |
| HoldenBloodfeast0x8204…56ea | No | 500 | 64.9¢ | $308 | — |
| OneBadBet0x84f8…0ff2 | No | 488 | 76.2¢ | $300 | Losing−$1.89 per $100 · 1,486 bets |
| FrankyFourFingers0xcdbf…1926 | Yes | 767 | 26.3¢ | $295 | — |
| 0xfbdf…3256 | No | 480 | 69.8¢ | $295 | — |
| WeJustBettin0xf6c6…7d80 | No | 451 | 75.8¢ | $278 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 735 bets |
| RobotAlpha0x5ce3…f779 | No | 450 | 63.6¢ | $277 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 667 | 37.0¢ | $257 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| Eatpraylove0xc021…1fa8 | Yes | 647 | 10.5¢ | $249 | Proven+$2.20 per $100 · 1,792 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 367 | 66.7¢ | $226 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,934 bets |
| YungCapital0xdc89…ccea | Yes | 572 | 26.1¢ | $220 | — |
| jiaga0x4dc4…483b | Yes | 450 | 26.0¢ | $173 | — |
| moneymakingmachine0x420e…e3c9 | Yes | 435 | 23.0¢ | $167 | Losing−$3.29 per $100 · 1,690 bets |
| Helenmara0x4f74…e4c6 | Yes | 406 | 14.6¢ | $156 | — |
| JoachimMarnitzMARW20260xd95f…651a | Yes | 400 | 30.8¢ | $154 | — |
| jq1230x9ad6…cc62 | No | 250 | 78.6¢ | $154 | — |
| xiaopieyehao0xd3f4…86fd | Yes | 370 | 27.8¢ | $143 | — |
| milkymike1230xf064…df5a | Yes | 370 | 27.0¢ | $143 | — |
| BettingBoi0xaee7…05e9 | No | 220 | 74.0¢ | $135 | Positive+$1.67 per $100 · 378 bets |
| thebogusman0xce08…3010 | Yes | 350 | 39.9¢ | $135 | — |
| trkbk20x09c0…305a | No | 217 | 77.2¢ | $133 | Positive+$1.14 per $100 · 124 bets |
| randomtrader110xdd70…de14 | No | 214 | 70.8¢ | $132 | — |
| johnnath12220x4b28…15df | No | 213 | 70.3¢ | $131 | Positive+$3.09 per $100 · 1,177 bets |
| SenatorPalpatine0x7ab8…eb56 | Yes | 320 | 40.0¢ | $123 | — |
| zine130xd43f…f1fc | No | 200 | 73.0¢ | $123 | New89 settled bets |
| PutsOnPeace0x635d…5025 | No | 200 | 74.0¢ | $123 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 2,042 bets |
| HuberH - 381010x9401…e9ff | Yes | 315 | 15.0¢ | $121 | Proven+$12.74 per $100 · 470 bets |
| yeosh0x6db3…20d5 | Yes | 300 | 26.0¢ | $116 | — |
| MrNFT0xb8e6…9767 | Yes | 300 | 33.9¢ | $116 | Positive+$1.01 per $100 · 2,095 bets |
| 0xc74e…3917 | Yes | 297 | 25.3¢ | $114 | — |
| 0x8351…9beb | Yes | 294 | 17.0¢ | $113 | Losing−$3.29 per $100 · 2,897 bets |
| ItsRigg3d0x6d04…0e1b | No | 168 | 72.3¢ | $103 | — |
| plsnolose0xbb75…f496 | No | 167 | 18.0¢ | $102 | — |
| Marclacasse10xd098…3307 | Yes | 257 | 26.0¢ | $99 | — |
| chickendinner690x6cb2…7d7f | No | 160 | 62.9¢ | $98 | — |
| tompekka70xb268…8399 | No | 160 | 62.9¢ | $98 | — |
| buyrightbake0x57cd…82ac | Yes | 250 | 40.0¢ | $96 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 148 | 62.5¢ | $91 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 123,093 bets |
| 1233322340x1f61…7ea7 | Yes | 209 | 26.0¢ | $80 | — |
| torin990x09cc…cffe | No | 130 | 76.8¢ | $80 | — |
| longtermgains0xebdc…bf08 | Yes | 208 | 24.7¢ | $80 | — |
| nongc0x5b03…0fbd | Yes | 200 | 23.7¢ | $77 | — |
| Akarac0x89a3…70c0 | Yes | 200 | 27.8¢ | $77 | — |
| nnimrodd0x09bb…f8b1 | Yes | 191 | 40.0¢ | $74 | Losing−$3.50 per $100 · 496 bets |
| Fishcup0xd031…f613 | Yes | 185 | 27.7¢ | $71 | — |
| 0x1411…2410 | No | 100 | 70.8¢ | $62 | Proven+$3.28 per $100 · 354 bets |
| ZeroWallet0x6326…c522 | No | 100 | 62.9¢ | $62 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.