Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 19:14 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2026 midterms · 609 events · $32M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| elmcap20xed10…d2e5 | Yes | 178,079 | 96.4¢ | $175K | Break-even+$0.78 per $100 · 2,129 bets |
| 0xad96…d498 | Yes | 23,594 | 98.3¢ | $23.2K | Positive |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| DFK0x0dde…94c3 | Yes | 21,947 | 93.5¢ | $21.6K | Positive+$1.50 per $100 · 713 bets |
| 572849100x856a…4ea2 | Yes | 16,182 | 98.5¢ | $15.9K | New18 settled bets |
| Avamax0xc97b…47e5 | Yes | 10,000 | 98.3¢ | $9.83K | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 720 bets |
| simpleman0xbe89…b88c | Yes | 7,903 | 89.6¢ | $7.77K | Proven+$2.51 per $100 · 1,506 bets |