Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 22:19 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2026 midterms · 618 events · $32.1M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| elmcap20xed10…d2e5 | Yes | 178,079 | 96.4¢ | $175K | Break-even+$0.78 per $100 · 2,129 bets |
| 0xad96…d498 | Yes | 23,594 | 98.3¢ | $23.2K | Positive+$1.41 per $100 · 101 bets |
| DFK0x0dde…94c3 | Yes | 21,947 | 93.5¢ | $21.6K | Positive+$1.50 per $100 · 713 bets |
| 572849100x856a…4ea2 | Yes | 16,182 | 98.5¢ | $15.9K | New18 settled bets |
| Avamax0xc97b…47e5 | Yes | 10,000 | 98.3¢ | $9.83K | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 721 bets |
| simpleman0xbe89…b88c | Yes | 7,903 | 89.6¢ | $7.77K | Proven+$2.51 per $100 · 1,506 bets |
| 0x8b4b…541b | Yes | 7,573 | 96.1¢ | $7.45K | Break-even−$0.72 per $100 · 868 bets |
| wish-0x72a2…7b65 | Yes | 6,571 | 97.0¢ | $6.46K | Break-even+$0.62 per $100 · 1,975 bets |
| manekineko0x6606…1338 | Yes | 5,000 | 98.0¢ | $4.92K | Break-even+$0.75 per $100 · 545 bets |
| 0xe639…082a | Yes | 4,256 | 97.5¢ | $4.19K | Positive+$1.11 per $100 · 299 bets |
| iraa30xad60…97f4 | Yes | 4,185 | 97.4¢ | $4.12K | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 259 bets |
| DegenerateJanet0x8964…0bec | Yes | 3,621 | 98.2¢ | $3.56K | Positive+$1.91 per $100 · 666 bets |
| Alegrandebig0x3773…f0dd | Yes | 3,574 | 97.4¢ | $3.51K | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 7,076 bets |
| 0xdafd…5ffb | Yes | 3,159 | 96.0¢ | $3.11K | Positive+$1.12 per $100 · 306 bets |
| MasonsConqueredRome0x357e…2a0c | Yes | 2,646 | 87.9¢ | $2.6K | Losing−$1.92 per $100 · 1,136 bets |
| polyproguy0xdcc9…4534 | Yes | 2,420 | 96.5¢ | $2.38K | Break-even+$0.49 per $100 · 2,183 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 2,262 | 96.1¢ | $2.22K | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,913 bets |
| pemul2s0x9f88…703e | Yes | 1,981 | 96.1¢ | $1.95K | — |
| charlatta0xb7b8…db31 | Yes | 1,900 | 98.0¢ | $1.87K | Break-even+$0.36 per $100 · 305 bets |
| Donny.T0x8190…b247 | Yes | 1,664 | 94.8¢ | $1.64K | Positive+$1.24 per $100 · 764 bets |
| 0xfcab…3376 | No | 92,384 | 2.1¢ | $1.52K | New17 settled bets |
| 0xc4a7…898a | Yes | 1,288 | 95.7¢ | $1.27K | — |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | Yes | 1,249 | 96.1¢ | $1.23K | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,059 bets |
| Debosnys0x7e30…1e50 | Yes | 1,234 | 95.4¢ | $1.21K | Break-even+$0.18 per $100 · 3,054 bets |
| HotDogs0x5c60…67c1 | Yes | 1,100 | 93.2¢ | $1.08K | — |
| trerira0x18ab…bae4 | Yes | 1,002 | 96.3¢ | $985 | Positive+$1.77 per $100 · 179 bets |
| trkbk20x09c0…305a | Yes | 901 | 96.1¢ | $886 | Positive+$1.14 per $100 · 124 bets |
| HoneybeeAlliance0xd51a…17c8 | No | 51,702 | 4.9¢ | $853 | — |
| stupid220x8afa…adb6 | Yes | 753 | 97.8¢ | $741 | Break-even−$0.83 per $100 · 918 bets |
| au20x1588…e224 | Yes | 712 | 98.3¢ | $700 | — |
| Optimus-0xd5b9…e44e | Yes | 597 | 91.0¢ | $587 | Proven+$7.77 per $100 · 3,039 bets |
| 0x7f27…8776 | Yes | 591 | 94.8¢ | $582 | — |
| i4000xa18c…d792 | Yes | 500 | 96.0¢ | $492 | Proven+$2.81 per $100 · 776 bets |
| godpls0xc4fb…2bfd | Yes | 500 | 98.1¢ | $492 | — |
| takemymoney0x1602…cbf7 | Yes | 439 | 98.3¢ | $432 | Break-even+$0.39 per $100 · 791 bets |
| DrNee0xba62…58e9 | Yes | 429 | 97.9¢ | $422 | Break-even−$0.64 per $100 · 331 bets |
| razzy0xccd4…367d | Yes | 402 | 91.0¢ | $396 | — |
| allenzzz0xe749…f771 | Yes | 399 | 90.8¢ | $393 | Proven+$2.10 per $100 · 229 bets |
| Ondra0x849c…4009 | No | 20,646 | 1.8¢ | $341 | Break-even+$0.58 per $100 · 5,303 bets |
| miya20160xbecd…f54e | Yes | 343 | 95.9¢ | $337 | Proven+$2.17 per $100 · 2,286 bets |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | No | 20,076 | 4.2¢ | $331 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,201 bets |
| VortexTrading0x41c7…0df5 | Yes | 300 | 97.8¢ | $295 | Break-even+$0.73 per $100 · 5,224 bets |
| Peremiriya0xf3a5…5f3c | No | 15,000 | 3.3¢ | $247 | — |
| 0x79a1…34b5 | No | 14,483 | 12.9¢ | $239 | New9 settled bets |
| 0x69e5…5a3d | No | 14,243 | 6.5¢ | $235 | — |
| il10x198a…3ca3 | Yes | 239 | 95.5¢ | $235 | Break-even−$0.71 per $100 · 871 bets |
| KentosPet0x76c5…fe58 | Yes | 200 | 97.9¢ | $197 | — |
| SylviaKov0xfbe8…fac5 | Yes | 200 | 95.6¢ | $197 | — |
| MondayStatic0xef38…adc9 | Yes | 200 | 95.2¢ | $197 | — |
| 0x6893…672f | No | 11,197 | 10.0¢ | $185 | — |
| Ox359449186AafB044680CeF3BBe2aB4FAba7025990x3594…2599 | Yes | 178 | 97.5¢ | $175 | — |
| hedgeit0x775c…419a | Yes | 175 | 97.8¢ | $172 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 167 | 98.4¢ | $164 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| fukpol0x46dd…802c | Yes | 150 | 90.0¢ | $148 | — |
| parfaitparfait0x63b4…7e30 | Yes | 150 | 91.3¢ | $148 | — |
| Roht0x4fc1…ec92 | Yes | 130 | 95.9¢ | $128 | Break-even+$0.61 per $100 · 8,835 bets |
| DaveKn0xca8a…9311 | Yes | 122 | 91.3¢ | $120 | — |
| erik500x213c…92ee | Yes | 115 | 98.6¢ | $113 | — |
| AXIOSinsider0x3d0b…f522 | No | 6,653 | 1.4¢ | $110 | New54 settled bets |
| 0xa8cc…015b | No | 6,197 | 3.5¢ | $102 | — |
| 5899850x8afb…7f1c | No | 5,752 | 5.4¢ | $95 | New18 settled bets |
| tompekka70xb268…8399 | No | 5,280 | 2.1¢ | $87 | — |
| 0x1c1a…0db5 | No | 5,193 | 2.1¢ | $86 | — |
| 0x8654…5b0e | No | 3,500 | 2.7¢ | $58 | — |
| lineth0x2c41…133e | No | 3,408 | 4.1¢ | $56 | Proven+$15.49 per $100 · 924 bets |
| Ferdss0x8c2f…51bc | No | 3,189 | 10.1¢ | $53 | — |
| Cherut0xb128…cf58 | No | 2,987 | 1.7¢ | $49 | New75 settled bets |
| Dutch19940x4ca4…c994 | No | 2,345 | 2.2¢ | $39 | — |
| 0xea42…9d75 | No | 2,312 | 12.5¢ | $38 | — |
| taojinzhe0xc50c…58e8 | No | 2,105 | 6.1¢ | $35 | — |
| bigtastybacon0x0d7f…6327 | No | 1,916 | 5.4¢ | $32 | — |
| 0xb524…1bdf | No | 1,904 | 10.5¢ | $31 | — |
| LLouhis0x510d…d839 | No | 1,822 | 2.3¢ | $30 | — |
| Bram320x1125…e8b1 | No | 1,769 | 11.9¢ | $29 | — |
| 0xbf78…c2c5 | No | 1,674 | 11.9¢ | $28 | — |
| Cold0700x5cab…7222 | No | 1,400 | 10.0¢ | $23 | — |
| 0x7d34…2896 | No | 1,192 | 9.3¢ | $20 | — |
| singularityman0x8797…bbbe | No | 1,189 | 4.0¢ | $20 | Proven+$17.46 per $100 · 571 bets |
| ceres2890x86f9…f0a6 | No | 1,140 | 11.4¢ | $19 | — |
| H-Moon-WaihekeX0x69f1…d0b3 | No | 1,093 | 9.3¢ | $18 | — |
| QMG-CORE0xcaab…24dd | No | 1,042 | 2.1¢ | $17 | Positive+$1.20 per $100 · 2,408 bets |
| 0x3ca9…04e9 | No | 1,009 | 11.4¢ | $17 | — |
| papawilander0x0e3c…1d60 | No | 1,000 | 5.0¢ | $17 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 991 | 3.3¢ | $16 | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 66,032 bets |
| Spoilerz0x6d5b…9564 | No | 897 | 11.4¢ | $15 | — |
| 0xb4e7…c343 | No | 891 | 11.2¢ | $15 | — |
| KissingGolden0x9dcb…628b | No | 743 | 9.0¢ | $12 | — |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | No | 663 | 2.2¢ | $11 | Losing−$5.52 per $100 · 111,745+ bets · updating |
| Thrillofitall0x2dce…b793 | No | 633 | 3.3¢ | $10 | — |
| hengify0x630e…6dd7 | No | 532 | 10.0¢ | $9 | — |
| 0x45a7…bfa3 | No | 501 | 2.1¢ | $8 | — |
| ilosemoney3330x5f87…735a | No | 500 | 6.2¢ | $8 | — |
| sety0x0a2a…6eab | No | 500 | 10.0¢ | $8 | — |
| recreated-forever0x6622…92ca | No | 500 | 1.3¢ | $8 | — |
| wallet-account-test0xcaff…e3ad | No | 500 | 4.2¢ | $8 | — |
| soloc0xa8a0…b70a | No | 451 | 10.9¢ | $7 | — |
| dwasdwad0x3e55…4f2b | No | 445 | 9.0¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x7e92…9670 | No | 417 | 12.0¢ | $7 | — |
| Ddonineteen0xbe3d…4dc6 | No | 404 | 5.7¢ | $7 | — |
| AmericaOnly0xe7ec…9dda | No | 385 | 5.4¢ | $6 | Proven+$2.89 per $100 · 157 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.