Market · 1 of 3 outcomes
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 04:48 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2026 midterms · 652 events · $32.2M in play
Exactly one of this event's 3 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | Yes | 27,201 | 94.0¢ | $25.9K | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| SAPolitcsSeer0xa30e…49d5 | Yes | 17,196 | 94.7¢ | $16.4K |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| scottilicious0x000d…758e | Yes | 2,728 | 92.6¢ | $2.6K | Proven+$2.76 per $100 · 1,310 bets |
| AngryRhino0xdf70…5e92 | Yes | 2,000 | 95.6¢ | $1.9K | Break-even+$0.12 per $100 · 260 bets |
| andy290xa75c…895e | Yes | 1,265 | 41.8¢ | $1.2K | — |
| bernardbulletin0x1c14…0869 | No | 24,462 | 6.1¢ | $1.17K | Proven+$11.16 per $100 · 2,363 bets |