Market · 2 of 3 outcomes
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:30 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AngryRhino0xdf70…5e92 | No | 3,000 | 95.9¢ | $2.83K | Break-even+$0.12 per $100 · 260 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 604 | 93.2¢ | $570 | Break-even |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| LR10xad28…1601 | No | 500 | 93.8¢ | $472 | Positive+$2.84 per $100 · 1,226 bets |
| MrNoItAll0x836f…906e | No | 410 | 94.5¢ | $387 | Positive+$1.90 per $100 · 499 bets |
| wqeewqeadawfawfwa0xc4db…7e0c | No | 215 | 94.6¢ | $203 | — |
| fanmt0x6bad…4d53 | Yes | 3,434 | 6.4¢ | $194 | — |
US 2026 midterms · 615 events · $32M in play
Exactly one of this event's 3 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.