Market · 2 of 3 outcomes
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:36 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AngryRhino0xdf70…5e92 | No | 3,000 | 95.9¢ | $2.83K | Break-even+$0.12 per $100 · 260 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 604 | 93.2¢ | $570 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,027 bets |
| LR10xad28…1601 | No | 500 | 93.8¢ | $472 | Positive+$2.84 per $100 · 1,226 bets |
| MrNoItAll0x836f…906e | No | 410 | 94.5¢ | $387 | Positive+$1.90 per $100 · 499 bets |
| fanmt0x6bad…4d53 | Yes | 3,636 | 6.3¢ | $205 | — |
| wqeewqeadawfawfwa0xc4db…7e0c | No | 215 | 94.6¢ | $203 | — |
| 0xaa56…4967 | Yes | 1,881 | 9.4¢ | $106 | — |
| 0x225b…422a | Yes | 1,869 | 5.0¢ | $106 | Proven+$9.78 per $100 · 302 bets |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | 1,751 | 5.4¢ | $99 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,201 bets |
| Talophex0xd0db…b117 | No | 100 | 95.0¢ | $94 | Proven+$2.05 per $100 · 1,929 bets |
| 0x4049…4db4 | Yes | 1,507 | 6.9¢ | $85 | — |
| overfatting0xddea…1ec6 | Yes | 1,500 | 4.4¢ | $85 | New3 settled bets |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 921 | 5.4¢ | $52 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| trampec0x588d…099a | No | 55 | 94.1¢ | $52 | — |
| RiseFromTheAshes0x1d5c…55df | Yes | 875 | 7.1¢ | $49 | — |
| resfeber0x814d…b842 | Yes | 770 | 5.3¢ | $43 | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 2,420 bets |
| EconProf0x2811…6818 | No | 42 | 94.0¢ | $40 | — |
| grinder10110xeed7…16b2 | Yes | 656 | 3.5¢ | $37 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 356 bets |
| Sebi1234560x9738…74b7 | Yes | 512 | 8.1¢ | $29 | — |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1 | No | 26 | 93.2¢ | $24 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 20 | 93.2¢ | $19 | Losing−$8.20 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| ABC123456543210x852e…ca77 | Yes | 294 | 4.8¢ | $17 | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 12,178 bets |
| etghzcer0x7b89…ddae | Yes | 241 | 6.4¢ | $14 | — |
| cidesui770x8fbb…b4c6 | Yes | 208 | 7.5¢ | $12 | — |
| ragutwo0x7db8…ed19 | Yes | 150 | 5.9¢ | $8 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 102 | 5.9¢ | $6 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| Bendhini0xa22f…0a8e | Yes | 100 | 6.1¢ | $6 | — |
| keepingitral0xf26c…d5c5 | Yes | 100 | 5.7¢ | $6 | — |
| korda770xa328…4977 | Yes | 96 | 7.7¢ | $5 | Positive+$6.82 per $100 · 42,898 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 89 | 9.3¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,914 bets |
| 0x77ba…2042 | No | 5 | 94.5¢ | $5 | — |
| EliteBetter0x81c9…4a47 | No | 5 | 94.5¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xaf05…33e2 | No | 5 | 95.1¢ | $5 | — |
| Kastellvalen0xe5c2…6b76 | No | 5 | 94.4¢ | $5 | — |
| paspor0x3dd2…9ab1 | Yes | 72 | 0.4¢ | $4 | Losing−$1.43 per $100 · 38,405+ bets · updating |
| idl0x726c…6bfd | Yes | 69 | 5.7¢ | $4 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 68 | 5.7¢ | $4 | Losing−$2.76 per $100 · 122,728 bets |
| humbleBaker0x1237…06af | Yes | 46 | 7.7¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 38 | 6.0¢ | $2 | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 66,032 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 33 | 5.7¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| fuckerrrrrr0x4b68…3ada | Yes | 32 | 6.5¢ | $2 | — |
| greylabel0xb7a9…715d | Yes | 30 | 4.1¢ | $2 | — |
| i2dt0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | 30 | 2.4¢ | $2 | Proven+$3.88 per $100 · 2,165 bets |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | No | 1 | 95.3¢ | $1 | Losing−$3.71 per $100 · 4,954 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 20 | 10.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| 0x7765…99b4 | Yes | 18 | 5.7¢ | $1 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | No | 1 | 93.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$5.58 per $100 · 87,195 bets |
| oatwa0xcdd3…8125 | No | 1 | 89.1¢ | $0 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 0 | 93.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| Rayse0xd061…d5e4 | Yes | 5 | 5.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9495…468f | No | 0 | 90.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$4.11 per $100 · 12,461 bets |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 2 | 7.7¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,046 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 93.6¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,453 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 1 | 5.6¢ | $0 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 96.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 0 | 1.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Polimaki0x98a8…a47b | No | 0 | 94.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | No | 0 | 92.6¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.27 per $100 · 29,929+ bets · updating |
| monoclith0x24e8…4546 | Yes | 0 | 10.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x5533…51ba | Yes | 0 | 4.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.29 per $100 · 18,335 bets |
| FelicityBright0xda00…61b4 | Yes | 0 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 623 events · $32.1M in play
Exactly one of this event's 3 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.