Market · 1 of 3 outcomes
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 07:00 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
9 proven traders are on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | Yes | 27,201 | 94.0¢ | $25.9K | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| SAPolitcsSeer0xa30e…49d5 | Yes | 17,196 | 94.7¢ | $16.4K | New84 settled bets |
| scottilicious0x000d…758e | Yes | 2,728 | 92.6¢ | $2.6K | Proven+$2.76 per $100 · 1,310 bets |
| AngryRhino0xdf70…5e92 | Yes | 2,000 | 95.6¢ | $1.9K | Break-even+$0.12 per $100 · 260 bets |
| andy290xa75c…895e | Yes | 1,265 | 41.8¢ | $1.2K | — |
| bernardbulletin0x1c14…0869 | No | 24,462 | 6.1¢ | $1.17K | Proven+$11.17 per $100 · 2,364 bets |
| 0xe41a…29bd | Yes | 1,000 | 94.9¢ | $952 | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 108 bets |
| JishWa0xf1fc…0ec1 | Yes | 908 | 91.9¢ | $864 | Losing−$2.20 per $100 · 233 bets |
| iraa30xad60…97f4 | Yes | 638 | 94.5¢ | $607 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 259 bets |
| Magician53420x4ae4…f84a | Yes | 566 | 91.1¢ | $538 | Proven+$2.26 per $100 · 319 bets |
| OmegaV20x7804…dbcc | Yes | 487 | 95.0¢ | $464 | — |
| probability0x74f1…16a8 | Yes | 438 | 92.5¢ | $417 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 6,373 bets |
| immanuelcan0x04b9…79e0 | Yes | 403 | 90.8¢ | $383 | Positive+$1.13 per $100 · 2,550 bets |
| coshi0x3e71…f97b | Yes | 400 | 93.9¢ | $381 | New86 settled bets |
| trzorira20x6d71…82e5 | Yes | 394 | 93.3¢ | $375 | New98 settled bets |
| aviato0x2a01…6397 | Yes | 377 | 94.3¢ | $358 | Positive+$1.04 per $100 · 3,736 bets |
| Ryxon210x3dca…3c13 | Yes | 363 | 92.7¢ | $346 | Proven+$7.45 per $100 · 578 bets |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | No | 6,932 | 5.4¢ | $333 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,201 bets |
| AJK20x014e…3794 | Yes | 333 | 90.3¢ | $317 | Positive+$1.08 per $100 · 263 bets |
| MrNoItAll0x836f…906e | Yes | 333 | 95.3¢ | $317 | Positive+$1.90 per $100 · 499 bets |
| Mecky0xa82b…5220 | Yes | 300 | 91.1¢ | $286 | Positive+$3.93 per $100 · 2,966 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 296 | 94.6¢ | $281 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,938 bets |
| Jpegpeddler0xe50b…8bde | Yes | 270 | 92.0¢ | $257 | — |
| insidero0x3eae…5e6d | Yes | 248 | 93.6¢ | $236 | Proven+$4.05 per $100 · 514 bets |
| fdsfsds0x758e…ad1c | Yes | 234 | 94.0¢ | $223 | — |
| sweise0xb8f6…4f7f | Yes | 216 | 89.9¢ | $206 | — |
| wqeewqeadawfawfwa0xc4db…7e0c | Yes | 215 | 94.5¢ | $205 | — |
| Freeborne0xbfcc…12a6 | Yes | 211 | 94.9¢ | $201 | — |
| il10x198a…3ca3 | Yes | 200 | 94.3¢ | $190 | Break-even−$0.71 per $100 · 871 bets |
| TheFOMCGambler0x1693…5d20 | Yes | 153 | 90.7¢ | $146 | Proven+$16.41 per $100 · 184 bets |
| Rr550xb8ad…ff58 | Yes | 153 | 93.1¢ | $145 | — |
| itxsaw20x3038…9368 | Yes | 143 | 94.0¢ | $136 | — |
| overfatting0xddea…1ec6 | No | 2,437 | 4.5¢ | $117 | New3 settled bets |
| Mangy620xcc50…df9b | Yes | 121 | 90.4¢ | $115 | Proven+$6.67 per $100 · 342 bets |
| 0x515e…ec0d | Yes | 113 | 93.1¢ | $108 | New79 settled bets |
| Bronzi0xc5fa…9795 | Yes | 106 | 94.5¢ | $101 | — |
| HotDogs0x5c60…67c1 | Yes | 101 | 94.5¢ | $96 | Proven+$2.73 per $100 · 613 bets |
| Mithrandir.0xb17d…59ae | Yes | 100 | 90.8¢ | $95 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 1,983 bets |
| Talophex0xd0db…b117 | Yes | 100 | 94.2¢ | $95 | Proven+$2.05 per $100 · 1,929 bets |
| 0xfbdf…3256 | Yes | 100 | 91.0¢ | $95 | — |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | No | 1,812 | 5.3¢ | $87 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| Hyperlong0x014c…820c | No | 1,584 | 6.2¢ | $76 | Break-even−$0.64 per $100 · 1,141 bets |
| vo2LCcPrd1x8Qa0x4383…170c | Yes | 79 | 95.0¢ | $75 | New44 settled bets |
| tonyboy1080x6d1b…1bec | Yes | 76 | 94.9¢ | $72 | — |
| fanmt0x6bad…4d53 | No | 1,500 | 5.7¢ | $72 | — |
| PeterStuyvesant0xe476…30ee | Yes | 70 | 94.5¢ | $67 | New62 settled bets |
| Tony1080x7410…f96f | Yes | 66 | 95.0¢ | $62 | — |
| tumba09560x479a…2ea1 | Yes | 65 | 94.5¢ | $62 | — |
| WatchTheTape0xdd28…374a | Yes | 65 | 92.9¢ | $62 | Losing−$1.82 per $100 · 2,234 bets |
| matejaolaf0x9368…9bce | Yes | 61 | 94.5¢ | $58 | — |
| kissmekissmeagain0xf411…2a7a | Yes | 61 | 94.1¢ | $58 | — |
| RadioCCOD0x66f9…adb9 | No | 1,201 | 9.7¢ | $58 | Proven+$95.13 per $100 · 197 bets |
| ahmat-sila0xe4e1…b244 | Yes | 59 | 94.1¢ | $56 | — |
| sorokgradusovya0x7a81…64da | Yes | 59 | 94.8¢ | $56 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 1,136 | 5.5¢ | $55 | Positive+$3.81 per $100 · 101,137 bets |
| cjabuse0xec00…4301 | Yes | 57 | 93.2¢ | $54 | — |
| 0xb6ce…895d | Yes | 56 | 93.1¢ | $53 | Positive+$1.74 per $100 · 1,065 bets |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | 51 | 87.1¢ | $49 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,726 bets |
| family-fund0xe487…384e | No | 705 | 6.0¢ | $34 | — |
| PK1230x6d65…3781 | Yes | 28 | 75.8¢ | $27 | Losing−$5.68 per $100 · 1,488 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 414 | 5.0¢ | $20 | Proven+$3.95 per $100 · 66,044 bets |
| buoys0x7e35…1a6c | No | 400 | 6.0¢ | $19 | Positive+$11.47 per $100 · 2,029 bets |
| Sleepyfan0x6b34…4c88 | No | 400 | 8.7¢ | $19 | — |
| katanaAob0x3f4b…f574 | No | 351 | 5.9¢ | $17 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 1,254 bets |
| ABC123456543210x852e…ca77 | No | 333 | 5.1¢ | $16 | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 12,178 bets |
| cryptoqan0n0xcc78…d202 | No | 324 | 6.2¢ | $16 | — |
| 0x7ee9…4b53 | No | 301 | 8.3¢ | $14 | — |
| WaterFloww0x5040…96cf | No | 300 | 5.8¢ | $14 | — |
| grinder10110xeed7…16b2 | No | 260 | 4.8¢ | $12 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 356 bets |
| 0xc186…1667 | No | 246 | 5.6¢ | $12 | — |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | No | 238 | 11.0¢ | $11 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,046 bets |
| longdated-poli0x167a…91d5 | No | 221 | 5.0¢ | $11 | Losing−$3.90 per $100 · 4,676 bets |
| Lexington0xdebb…eedb | No | 210 | 6.1¢ | $10 | Proven+$2.90 per $100 · 8,190 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 209 | 7.6¢ | $10 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,334 bets |
| LBZero0xa9a1…c98a | No | 202 | 8.0¢ | $10 | Losing−$1.14 per $100 · 8,315 bets |
| mmtrading0x5a0c…9db8 | No | 167 | 5.8¢ | $8 | Break-even−$0.32 per $100 · 14,879 bets |
| dips.0xc785…4ef2 | No | 160 | 6.2¢ | $8 | Break-even−$0.53 per $100 · 30,440+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 100 | 5.7¢ | $5 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 123,093 bets |
| fxequalsx0xe5bc…0c67 | No | 100 | 6.1¢ | $5 | — |
| keepingitral0xf26c…d5c5 | No | 100 | 6.1¢ | $5 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | No | 84 | 5.8¢ | $4 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 70 | 6.7¢ | $3 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| 0xf8e4…3b32 | No | 61 | 5.7¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.93 per $100 · 9,360 bets |
| destropyer0x363c…4463 | No | 60 | 8.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x2c8b…8f6f | No | 56 | 9.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xe1e1…b958 | No | 56 | 9.0¢ | $3 | — |
| OleBobbyBobBob0xc5b9…9687 | No | 54 | 5.3¢ | $3 | — |
| romanew-3-150x2ab3…07bc | No | 49 | 10.0¢ | $2 | — |
| predictdogepepewif0xf524…8178 | No | 40 | 5.3¢ | $2 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 11,425 bets |
| romanew-cryp0xbd91…6262 | No | 35 | 10.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$3.04 per $100 · 3,574 bets |
| ngok9960xe1a9…339e | No | 30 | 13.0¢ | $1 | — |
| doctorno990x4e2d…4936 | No | 29 | 7.6¢ | $1 | — |
| lulu2130xa25e…2dd7 | No | 27 | 7.3¢ | $1 | — |
| LarBotPrime0x32fd…5c8b | No | 25 | 4.4¢ | $1 | — |
| Rain-Prob-010x57f5…c1c9 | No | 22 | 9.3¢ | $1 | — |
| umbrella-labs0x860c…418d | No | 21 | 4.8¢ | $1 | — |
| koyas20x4467…eaf9 | No | 20 | 5.2¢ | $1 | — |
| gaut63750x5874…05f7 | No | 20 | 5.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.88 per $100 · 2,453 bets |
| ivybaby020x9771…db67 | No | 20 | 5.0¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 659 events · $32.2M in play
Exactly one of this event's 3 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.