Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 19:07 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2026 midterms · 609 events · $32M in play
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 12 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader |
|---|
| Side |
|---|
| Shares |
|---|
| Bought at |
|---|
| Worth now |
|---|
| Record |
|---|
| nfadyor0xd1e6…0331 | Yes | 61,676 | 81.1¢ | $48.8K | — |
| uponlyyy0x3589…c80a | Yes | 30,489 | 82.1¢ | $24.1K | — |
| NotHarrisonHohman0xe72e…282d | Yes | 16,482 | 80.2¢ | $13.1K | New8 settled bets |
| maxwell30x20c4…d5a1 | Yes | 8,107 | 74.0¢ | $6.42K | — |
| Magician53420x4ae4…f84a | Yes | 7,346 | 76.2¢ | $5.82K | — |
| wan1230xde7b…5f4b | No | 23,312 | 24.8¢ | $4.85K | Proven+$7.93 per $100 · 516 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 46 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.