Market · 20 of 23 outcomes
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 14:15 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2026 midterms · 692 events · $32.6M in play
Exactly one of this event's 23 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
11 more outcomes in this event.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| studmuffin69690xa8af…325e | No | 1,000 | 95.3¢ | $999 | Positive+$1.91 per $100 · 2,247 bets |
| 5atka0x1c26…6e31 | No | 200 | 49.6¢ | $200 | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 6,495 bets |
| goldeye0x705d…3438 | No | 200 | 50.0¢ | $200 | Losing−$26.93 per $100 · 249 bets |
| tttt1230xdf40…38b8 | No | 200 | 48.5¢ | $200 | Positive+$2.19 per $100 · 3,002 bets |
| tomamate0xafce…db52 | No | 114 | 44.0¢ | $114 | — |
| Xois860x61e8…3bd1 | No | 75 | 40.0¢ | $75 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 5 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.