Market · 20 of 23 outcomes
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:44 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2026 midterms · 696 events · $32.6M in play
Exactly one of this event's 23 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| studmuffin69690xa8af…325e | No | 1,000 | 95.3¢ | $999 | Positive+$1.91 per $100 · 2,247 bets |
| 5atka0x1c26…6e31 | No | 200 | 49.6¢ | $200 | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 6,495 bets |
| goldeye0x705d…3438 | No | 200 | 50.0¢ | $200 | Losing−$26.93 per $100 · 249 bets |
| tttt1230xdf40…38b8 | No | 200 | 48.5¢ | $200 | Positive+$2.19 per $100 · 3,002 bets |
| tomamate0xafce…db52 | No | 114 | 44.0¢ | $114 | — |
| Xois860x61e8…3bd1 | No | 75 | 40.0¢ | $75 | — |
| tripping0x6480…8dc5 | Yes | 124,185 | 0.2¢ | $62 | Proven+$4.35 per $100 · 895 bets |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | No | 60 | 96.0¢ | $60 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| paas20xa4bd…e8a2 | No | 60 | 43.5¢ | $60 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,816+ bets · updating |
| 0x2232…2f0e | No | 56 | 36.0¢ | $56 | — |
| pregamee0xa88d…9830 | Yes | 99,402 | 0.1¢ | $50 | — |
| sulfaterx0xa791…bf23 | No | 30 | 38.0¢ | $30 | — |
| 0x9259…edee | No | 27 | 73.4¢ | $27 | — |
| Rainz520xfc9f…d0ee | No | 26 | 38.0¢ | $26 | — |
| 0x43e8…af56 | No | 26 | 39.0¢ | $26 | Losing−$4.40 per $100 · 5,554 bets |
| gopay0xb9d2…fb68 | Yes | 30,000 | 0.1¢ | $15 | — |
| JoE0x7740…cbcd | No | 12 | 49.0¢ | $12 | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 11,334 bets |
| chudswin.0x8652…3ce4 | No | 11 | 48.0¢ | $11 | — |
| Crouxma0xd8f0…03a5 | No | 10 | 42.0¢ | $10 | — |
| numberonejj0xec87…e633 | No | 10 | 34.0¢ | $10 | — |
| 64MGX75VLQ0xf4d0…4637 | No | 10 | 99.9¢ | $10 | Positive+$1.05 per $100 · 1,100 bets |
| EROSAZ50x5fc6…4e12 | No | 9 | 53.0¢ | $9 | — |
| PolBandit0x15fd…cc95 | Yes | 13,424 | 61.7¢ | $7 | New86 settled bets |
| FlashTradeOracleTester0xa912…297f | No | 7 | 56.0¢ | $7 | — |
| ApostadorMestre0xeb8c…dbe2 | No | 6 | 52.0¢ | $5 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 10,951 | 0.2¢ | $5 | Positive+$12.19 per $100 · 3,934 bets |
| constantinskuratovbelsky0x0dfe…de4d | No | 5 | 44.0¢ | $5 | — |
| alphasysdata6010x5206…f4cd | No | 5 | 62.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x9aa0…8779 | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| DMDML0xf8a4…4051 | No | 5 | 46.0¢ | $5 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 9,954 | 2.2¢ | $5 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,282 bets |
| void3083ultradev0x4aa0…e383 | No | 5 | 61.0¢ | $5 | — |
| asfdt290xcdb0…1581 | No | 4 | 38.6¢ | $4 | — |
| scottilicious0x000d…758e | Yes | 8,434 | 35.3¢ | $4 | Proven+$2.76 per $100 · 1,310 bets |
| eagleer1fluxunit0xd164…97ac | No | 4 | 62.0¢ | $4 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 7,870 | 2.1¢ | $4 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,772 bets |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 7,609 | 2.2¢ | $4 | Positive+$7.96 per $100 · 18,865 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 7,305 | 2.2¢ | $4 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,522 bets |
| Laratheduck0xacea…4978 | No | 4 | 55.0¢ | $4 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 7,174 | 2.2¢ | $4 | Positive+$5.62 per $100 · 87,360 bets |
| 30sdfdsf0xfdd1…1829 | No | 4 | 55.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x8b33…c718 | No | 3 | 37.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 5,659 | 2.2¢ | $3 | Positive+$5.69 per $100 · 57,107+ bets · updating |
| 0x4bac…5e79 | No | 3 | 95.2¢ | $3 | — |
| welcomyfriend0x68e2…30ac | Yes | 5,040 | 0.1¢ | $3 | Losing−$36.99 per $100 · 136 bets |
| creaitor0x52bc…4e1c | Yes | 5,000 | 0.2¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x1234…c1bb | Yes | 4,825 | 5.9¢ | $2 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 3,934 | 2.2¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,020 bets |
| puipui24860x70d9…a684 | Yes | 3,754 | 2.2¢ | $2 | Positive+$28.52 per $100 · 4,039 bets |
| Delvair0x1a81…ccd5 | No | 2 | 54.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Hourglass0x1d8c…757a | Yes | 3,587 | 2.2¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 23,982 bets |
| Dionara0x7c37…e646 | No | 2 | 99.9¢ | $2 | — |
| BASSATS010xe4ca…1383 | No | 2 | 39.0¢ | $2 | — |
| warptrading0x6f08…54d3 | No | 2 | 34.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.09 per $100 · 10,198 bets |
| thepolwinner0x3078…0389 | No | 1 | 41.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.66 per $100 · 30,956 bets |
| Binotto0xdd9e…49b3 | Yes | 2,742 | 1.9¢ | $1 | Positive+$19.17 per $100 · 1,659 bets |
| 0x9b12…c2d5 | Yes | 2,737 | 2.2¢ | $1 | — |
| Firellop0xd732…4c18 | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xfcba…2398 | No | 1 | 45.0¢ | $1 | — |
| hifexi0x69dc…e45c | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| Gucky-450xe613…540e | Yes | 2,000 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$9.92 per $100 · 2,566 bets |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 1,760 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,518 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 1,720 | 9.3¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,059 bets |
| mwenya0xde04…fa37 | Yes | 1,669 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 45,035 bets |
| 0xd32c…a4c2 | Yes | 1,650 | 2.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.64 per $100 · 3,807 bets |
| 0xcb58…0160 | Yes | 1,600 | 5.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.18 per $100 · 113 bets |
| synthwavetrading0x9629…b148 | Yes | 1,592 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.80 per $100 · 248 bets |
| 0x4c63…185c | Yes | 1,500 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 1,400 | 1.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| Zachattack5000x4cf2…e31c | Yes | 1,261 | 56.1¢ | $1 | Losing−$3.04 per $100 · 391 bets |
| KARACAC0xbb50…7bfc | No | 1 | 48.0¢ | $1 | — |
| HongKongMenace0x7919…72b2 | Yes | 1,170 | 57.6¢ | $1 | New60 settled bets |
| ox52Bd7D7418083289C912b9f99fbb854DCd7Cf1af0x52bd…f1af | Yes | 1,020 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Losing−$21.33 per $100 · 690 bets |
| labistiiia0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$14.36 per $100 · 22,813 bets |
| norealtime0x56c2…6219 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$11.38 per $100 · 9,404 bets |
| 10KPnl0x8646…ed78 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| no1biao0xdf08…cf97 | No | 0 | 41.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 4bet0x893b…f5ec | Yes | 900 | 61.0¢ | $0 | — |
| paspor0x3dd2…9ab1 | No | 0 | 66.5¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.71 per $100 · 50,296 bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 860 | 0.5¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | 852 | 2.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.38 per $100 · 41,591+ bets · updating |
| AngryRhino0xdf70…5e92 | Yes | 843 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.12 per $100 · 260 bets |
| northdrawer0xfd55…f905 | Yes | 807 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc978…aa84 | Yes | 765 | 37.5¢ | $0 | — |
| avengers2357avengers0xf95e…ec50 | Yes | 724 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xfbd8…4027 | Yes | 705 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.13 per $100 · 58,633+ bets · updating |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | Yes | 674 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 12,469 bets |
| 0xf254…53c8 | Yes | 651 | 32.4¢ | $0 | — |
| user10-110xb347…979a | Yes | 620 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Giannis20260xe5b4…1e3e | Yes | 601 | 59.0¢ | $0 | Proven+$13.43 per $100 · 350 bets |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 536 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,048 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 529 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,945 bets |
| 0xa996…34b5 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| JustBot0xe33b…6de8 | Yes | 57 | 53.6¢ | $0 | — |
| shine0xe4cf…78c4 | No | 0 | 43.2¢ | $0 | — |
| oxhuhu0x3b9d…e79c | Yes | 18 | 62.0¢ | $0 | — |
| NoMoreMister0x4df7…522d | Yes | 1 | 2.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.57 per $100 · 28,074 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 5 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.