Market · 2 of 22 outcomes
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:26 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | No | 2,271 | 65.9¢ | $1.83K | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,201 bets |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | Yes | 5,988 | 18.8¢ | $1.17K | Losing−$7.34 per $100 · 1,388 bets |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | Yes | 5,170 | 34.3¢ | $1.01K | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | No | 1,216 | 73.5¢ | $979 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,726 bets |
| 0xf27d…e6d3 | Yes | 2,637 | 20.8¢ | $514 | Positive+$7.37 per $100 · 1,338 bets |
| 0x9dd9…08bd | No | 488 | 52.1¢ | $393 | Losing−$5.13 per $100 · 30,404+ bets · updating |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 9 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 615 events · $32M in play
Exactly one of this event's 22 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
10 more outcomes in this event.
These 22 outcomes add up to 101.3¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.